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San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
7 – 9
Final
Cubs -1.5 covered
Over 11
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, June 30
8:05 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
SD 46%CHC 54%
Fair moneyline
+117 / -117
SD / CHC, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +2 pts
SharpModels 46% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1530
SD / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+119 +118 +120
Cubs
Moneyline
-141
bet365
-145 -143 -141
Padres
Spread
+1-119
DraftKings
+1-119 +1.5-154 +1.5-154
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+130
bet365
-1-111 -1.5+125 -1.5+130
Over
Total
11-115
DraftKings
11-115 11-120 11-115
Under
Total
11+100
BetMGM
11-105 11+100 11-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.6%4.5%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-5.5
SD +5.5
+480-833 +475-833 -
-5
SD +5
+458-833 - -
-4.5
SD +4.5
+352-556 +350-526 -
-4
SD +4
+329-500 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+256-370 +240-333 -
-3
SD +3
+231-323 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+179-244 +170-227 -
-2
SD +2
+156-208 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+127-156 +125-154 +130-154
-1
SD +1
-111-119 - -
+1
SD -1
-200+150 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-238+177 -227+170 -
+2
SD -2
-333+235 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-385+262 -357+250 -
+3
SD -3
-556+350 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-588+377 -526+350 -
+4
SD -4
-909+500 - -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
5.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
6
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -909+525 -
7
Over / Under
- -833+475 -
7.5
Over / Under
-455+306 -500+325 -
8
Over / Under
-417+284 -455+310 -
8.5
Over / Under
-312+223 -357+250 -
9
Over / Under
-270+195 -303+220 -
9.5
Over / Under
-196+147 -222+165 -
10
Over / Under
-172+131 -189+145 -
10.5
Over / Under
-147+111 -154+120 -
11
Over / Under
-115-105 -120+100 -115-105
11.5
Over / Under
+102-133 +100-128 -
12
Over / Under
+118-156 +120-154 -
12.5
Over / Under
+132-175 +135-179 -
13
Over / Under
+166-222 +170-227 -
13.5
Over / Under
+188-256 +190-250 -
14
Over / Under
+224-312 +240-333 -
14.5
Over / Under
+240-345 +250-357 -
15
Over / Under
+309-476 +320-476 -
15.5
Over / Under
+333-500 +340-526 -
16
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
16.5
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
17
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.