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Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds

Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1553 · #4
4 – 0
Final
Rays -1.5 covered
Under 10.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, July 1
7:40 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
TB 52%KC 48%
Fair moneyline
-109 / +109
TB / KC, no vig
Market win %
58% / 42%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +6 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 42% (no vig)
Ratings
1553 / 1462
TB / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Rays
Moneyline
-154
bet365
-156 -154 -154
Royals
Moneyline
+130
bet365
+128 +125 +130
Rays
Spread
-1.5+101
DraftKings
-1.5+101 -1.5+100 -1.5+100
Royals
Spread
+1.5-120
bet365
+1.5-123 +1.5-120 +1.5-120
Over
Total
10.5-110
BetMGM
10.5-114 10.5-110 10.5-115
Under
Total
10.5-105
bet365
10.5-106 10.5-110 10.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.6%4.8%3.9%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-3.5
TB +3.5
+509-909 - -
-3
TB +3
+482-833 - -
-2.5
TB +2.5
+357-556 +333-500 -
-2
TB +2
+328-500 - -
-1.5
TB +1.5
+240-345 +220-303 -
-1
TB +1
+193-263 - -
+1
TB -1
+100-132 - -
+1.5
TB -1.5
-123+101 -120+100 -120+100
+2
TB -2
-161+123 - -
+2.5
TB -2.5
-192+146 -200+154 -
+3
TB -3
-256+188 - -
+3.5
TB -3.5
-294+212 -303+220 -
+4
TB -4
-400+277 - -
+4.5
TB -4.5
-455+302 -455+310 -
+5
TB -5
-667+405 - -
+5.5
TB -5.5
-714+432 - -
+6
TB -6
-1111+572 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: TB at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
5
Over / Under
- -2500+900 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
6
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
7
Over / Under
-588+362 -588+375 -
7.5
Over / Under
-345+245 -385+270 -
8
Over / Under
-312+225 -333+240 -
8.5
Over / Under
-250+181 -250+190 -
9
Over / Under
-208+156 -222+165 -
9.5
Over / Under
-159+120 -161+125 -
10
Over / Under
-139+106 -139+105 -
10.5
Over / Under
-114-106 -110-110 -115-105
11
Over / Under
+105-139 +105-139 -
11.5
Over / Under
+125-167 +130-169 -
12
Over / Under
+148-196 +155-208 -
12.5
Over / Under
+164-222 +175-238 -
13
Over / Under
+209-286 +220-303 -
13.5
Over / Under
+231-323 +250-357 -
14
Over / Under
+277-400 +300-455 -
14.5
Over / Under
+293-435 +320-476 -
15
Over / Under
+383-625 +400-667 -
15.5
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
16
Over / Under
- +525-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.