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Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox odds

Washington
Nationals
SM rating 1462 · #25
10 – 2
Final
Red Sox -1.5 did not cover
Over 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, July 1
1:35 PM ET
Fenway Park
Boston
Red Sox
SM rating 1530 · #8
WSH 41%BOS 59%
Fair moneyline
+142 / -142
WSH / BOS, no vig
Market win %
42% / 58%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BOS +1 pts
SharpModels 59% · market 58% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1530
WSH / BOS, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Nationals
Moneyline
+128
DraftKings
+128 +125 +125
Red Sox
Moneyline
-149
BetMGM
-156 -149 -149
Nationals
Spread
+1-116
DraftKings
+1-116 +1.5-167 +1.5-159
Red Sox
Spread
-1.5+135
BetMGM
-1-114 -1.5+135 -1.5+135
Over
Total
9.5-110
BetMGM
9.5-111 9.5-110 9.5-110
Under
Total
9.5-110
DraftKings
9.5-110 9.5-110 9.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.6%4.1%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BOS line
-5.5
WSH +5.5
+540-1000 - -
-5
WSH +5
+514-1000 - -
-4.5
WSH +4.5
+383-625 - -
-4
WSH +4
+358-556 - -
-3.5
WSH +3.5
+271-400 +280-400 -
-3
WSH +3
+245-345 - -
-2.5
WSH +2.5
+187-256 +200-278 -
-2
WSH +2
+162-217 - -
-1.5
WSH +1.5
+130-159 +135-167 +135-159
-1
WSH +1
-114-116 - -
+1
WSH -1
-217+161 - -
+1.5
WSH -1.5
-256+188 -250+185 -
+2
WSH -2
-357+249 - -
+2.5
WSH -2.5
-400+277 -385+270 -
+3
WSH -3
-588+372 - -
+3.5
WSH -3.5
-667+399 -625+400 -
+4
WSH -4
-1000+528 - -

Top number: BOS at that line; bottom: WSH at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
6
Over / Under
- -667+400 -
6.5
Over / Under
-455+298 -455+310 -
7
Over / Under
-385+265 -400+275 -
7.5
Over / Under
-256+187 -278+200 -
8
Over / Under
-227+167 -227+170 -
8.5
Over / Under
-179+136 -179+135 -
9
Over / Under
-147+112 -143+110 -
9.5
Over / Under
-111-110 -110-110 -110-110
10
Over / Under
+101-133 +105-139 -
10.5
Over / Under
+115-152 +125-161 -
11
Over / Under
+144-192 +160-208 -
11.5
Over / Under
+166-222 +185-250 -
12
Over / Under
+198-270 +220-303 -
12.5
Over / Under
+214-294 +240-333 -
13
Over / Under
+272-400 +310-455 -
13.5
Over / Under
+295-435 +340-500 -
14
Over / Under
+358-556 +400-667 -
14.5
Over / Under
+375-588 +425-714 -
15
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.