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Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians odds

Chicago
White Sox
SM rating 1466 · #24
5 – 6
Final
White Sox -1.5 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, July 2
6:40 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
CHW 37%CLE 63%
Fair moneyline
+169 / -169
CHW / CLE, no vig
Market win %
48% / 52%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +11 pts
SharpModels 63% · market 52% (no vig)
Ratings
1466 / 1516
CHW / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 11 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
White Sox
Moneyline
+100
BetMGM
-101 +100 +100
Guardians
Moneyline
-120
BetMGM
-120 -120 -120
White Sox
Spread
-1+125
DraftKings
-1+125 -1.5+155 -1.5+160
Guardians
Spread
+1.5-189
BetMGM
+1-164 +1.5-189 +1.5-189
Over
Total
8.5-110
BetMGM
8.5-110 8.5-110 8.5-110
Under
Total
8.5-110
BetMGM
8.5-111 8.5-110 8.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.3% 4.6%4.3%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-4.5
CHW +4.5
+591-1250 - -
-4
CHW +4
+565-1111 - -
-3.5
CHW +3.5
+414-714 +400-625 -
-3
CHW +3
+382-625 - -
-2.5
CHW +2.5
+271-400 +270-385 -
-2
CHW +2
+240-345 - -
-1.5
CHW +1.5
+174-238 +165-222 -
-1
CHW +1
+127-167 - -
+1
CHW -1
-164+125 - -
+1.5
CHW -1.5
-189+155 -189+155 -189+160
+2
CHW -2
-278+203 - -
+2.5
CHW -2.5
-323+231 -303+220 -
+3
CHW -3
-476+313 - -
+3.5
CHW -3.5
-526+342 -500+333 -
+4
CHW -4
-833+466 - -
+4.5
CHW -4.5
-909+494 - -
+5
CHW -5
-1429+660 - -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: CHW at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-769+446 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-400+272 -417+290 -
6
Over / Under
-357+249 -385+270 -
6.5
Over / Under
-270+195 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-217+163 -227+170 -
7.5
Over / Under
-156+119 -161+125 -
8
Over / Under
-135+103 -139+105 -
8.5
Over / Under
-110-111 -110-110 -110-110
9
Over / Under
+112-147 +110-143 -
9.5
Over / Under
+136-179 +135-179 -
10
Over / Under
+163-217 +165-222 -
10.5
Over / Under
+180-244 +180-238 -
11
Over / Under
+236-333 +240-333 -
11.5
Over / Under
+261-385 +270-385 -
12
Over / Under
+320-476 +325-476 -
12.5
Over / Under
+338-526 +340-526 -
13
Over / Under
+449-769 +450-769 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
14
Over / Under
- +600-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.