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Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals odds

Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1551 · #5
5 – 2
Final
Rays -1.5 covered
Under 10.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, July 2
7:40 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
TB 53%KC 47%
Fair moneyline
-111 / +111
TB / KC, no vig
Market win %
52% / 48%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +0 pts
SharpModels 53% · market 52% (no vig)
Ratings
1551 / 1462
TB / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Rays
Moneyline
-120
BetMGM
-123 -120 -120
Royals
Moneyline
+101
DraftKings
+101 +100 +100
Rays
Spread
-1+100
DraftKings
-1+100 -1.5+125 -1.5+125
Royals
Spread
+1.5-149
bet365
+1-132 +1.5-154 +1.5-149
Over
Total
10.5+100
BetMGM
10-114 10.5+100 10.5+100
Under
Total
10.5-120
BetMGM
10-108 10.5-120 10.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.7%4.3%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-4
TB +4
+553-1111 - -
-3.5
TB +3.5
+413-714 +400-625 -
-3
TB +3
+385-625 - -
-2.5
TB +2.5
+284-417 +280-400 -
-2
TB +2
+256-370 - -
-1.5
TB +1.5
+192-263 +185-250 -
-1
TB +1
+148-196 - -
+1
TB -1
-132+100 - -
+1.5
TB -1.5
-156+128 -154+125 -149+125
+2
TB -2
-213+158 - -
+2.5
TB -2.5
-250+182 -238+180 -
+3
TB -3
-333+237 - -
+3.5
TB -3.5
-385+263 -357+250 -
+4
TB -4
-526+345 - -
+4.5
TB -4.5
-588+370 - -
+5
TB -5
-909+488 - -
+5.5
TB -5.5
-1000+512 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: TB at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
5
Over / Under
- -2500+825 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -909+525 -
6
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
6.5
Over / Under
-526+347 -588+375 -
7
Over / Under
-476+310 -526+340 -
7.5
Over / Under
-294+214 -333+240 -
8
Over / Under
-270+195 -303+220 -
8.5
Over / Under
-213+158 -238+175 -
9
Over / Under
-179+134 -200+150 -
9.5
Over / Under
-137+105 -149+115 -
10
Over / Under
-114-108 -125-102 -
10.5
Over / Under
-102-128 +100-120 +100-120
11
Over / Under
+122-161 +125-161 -
11.5
Over / Under
+144-192 +145-189 -
12
Over / Under
+169-227 +175-238 -
12.5
Over / Under
+183-250 +185-250 -
13
Over / Under
+235-333 +250-357 -
13.5
Over / Under
+258-370 +270-385 -
14
Over / Under
+314-476 +325-500 -
14.5
Over / Under
+331-500 +350-526 -
15
Over / Under
- +450-769 -
15.5
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
16
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.