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Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds odds

Baltimore
Orioles
SM rating 1502 · #14
8 – 5
Final
Reds -1.5 did not cover
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, July 4
7:10 PM ET
Great American Ball Park
Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
BAL 46%CIN 54%
Fair moneyline
+117 / -117
BAL / CIN, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +0 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 54% (no vig)
Ratings
1502 / 1485
BAL / CIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Orioles
Moneyline
+110
bet365
+105 +105 +110
Reds
Moneyline
-127
DraftKings
-127 -128 -130
Orioles
Spread
+1.5-185
bet365
+1-147 +1.5-189 +1.5-185
Reds
Spread
-1.5+155
bet365
-1+111 -1.5+155 -1.5+155
Over
Total
9-120
bet365
9-122 9-120 9-120
Under
Total
9+100
bet365
9+100 9+100 9+100
Margin
Moneyline
3.4% 4.5%4.7%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CIN line
-5
BAL +5
+650-1429 - -
-4.5
BAL +4.5
+486-909 - -
-4
BAL +4
+460-833 - -
-3.5
BAL +3.5
+342-526 +340-526 -
-3
BAL +3
+314-476 - -
-2.5
BAL +2.5
+232-333 +240-333 -
-2
BAL +2
+203-278 - -
-1.5
BAL +1.5
+157-192 +155-189 +155-185
-1
BAL +1
+111-147 - -
+1
BAL -1
-179+134 - -
+1.5
BAL -1.5
-217+162 -208+160 -
+2
BAL -2
-303+216 - -
+2.5
BAL -2.5
-345+244 -333+240 -
+3
BAL -3
-500+331 - -
+3.5
BAL -3.5
-556+360 -526+350 -
+4
BAL -4
-833+483 - -
+4.5
BAL -4.5
-909+509 - -

Top number: CIN at that line; bottom: BAL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -3333+950 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+900 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
5
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
5.5
Over / Under
-588+372 -588+375 -
6
Over / Under
-526+346 -556+360 -
6.5
Over / Under
-385+262 -400+275 -
7
Over / Under
-323+229 -333+240 -
7.5
Over / Under
-217+162 -227+170 -
8
Over / Under
-192+144 -200+150 -
8.5
Over / Under
-156+119 -154+120 -
9
Over / Under
-122+100 -120+100 -120+100
9.5
Over / Under
-102-128 +105-139 -
10
Over / Under
+116-154 +125-161 -
10.5
Over / Under
+132-175 +145-189 -
11
Over / Under
+171-233 +185-250 -
11.5
Over / Under
+196-270 +210-286 -
12
Over / Under
+237-333 +250-357 -
12.5
Over / Under
+254-370 +270-385 -
13
Over / Under
+335-526 +360-556 -
13.5
Over / Under
+361-556 +375-588 -
14
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.