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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees odds

Minnesota
Twins
SM rating 1468 · #23
11 – 4
Final
Yankees -1.5 did not cover
Over 10.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, July 4
1:35 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
New York
Yankees
SM rating 1556 · #3
MIN 37%NYY 63%
Fair moneyline
+170 / -170
MIN / NYY, no vig
Market win %
43% / 57%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NYY +6 pts
SharpModels 63% · market 57% (no vig)
Ratings
1468 / 1556
MIN / NYY, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Twins
Moneyline
+125
bet365
+124 +125 +125
Yankees
Moneyline
-149
DraftKings
-149 -149 -149
Twins
Spread
+1-116
DraftKings
+1-116 +1.5-154 +1.5-154
Yankees
Spread
-1.5+130
bet365
-1-111 -1.5+125 -1.5+130
Over
Total
10.5-112
DraftKings
10.5-112 10.5-115 10.5-115
Under
Total
10.5-105
bet365
10.5-108 10.5-105 10.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.3%4.1%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NYY line
-5.5
MIN +5.5
+538-1000 - -
-5
MIN +5
+512-1000 - -
-4.5
MIN +4.5
+383-625 - -
-4
MIN +4
+357-556 - -
-3.5
MIN +3.5
+269-385 +250-357 -
-3
MIN +3
+243-345 - -
-2.5
MIN +2.5
+185-250 +180-238 -
-2
MIN +2
+160-213 - -
-1.5
MIN +1.5
+128-156 +125-154 +130-154
-1
MIN +1
-111-116 - -
+1
MIN -1
-204+154 - -
+1.5
MIN -1.5
-244+180 -238+180 -
+2
MIN -2
-345+240 - -
+2.5
MIN -2.5
-385+268 -385+270 -
+3
MIN -3
-588+363 - -
+3.5
MIN -3.5
-625+392 -588+375 -
+4
MIN -4
-1000+525 - -

Top number: NYY at that line; bottom: MIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
5
Over / Under
- -3333+950 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
6
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
7
Over / Under
- -588+375 -
7.5
Over / Under
- -385+270 -
8
Over / Under
- -333+240 -
8.5
Over / Under
- -250+190 -
9
Over / Under
- -222+165 -
9.5
Over / Under
- -167+125 -
10
Over / Under
- -143+110 -
10.5
Over / Under
-112-108 -115-105 -115-105
11
Over / Under
- +105-139 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +125-167 -
12
Over / Under
- +154-200 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +170-227 -
13
Over / Under
- +220-303 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +240-333 -
14
Over / Under
- +290-417 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +310-455 -
15
Over / Under
- +400-625 -
15.5
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
16
Over / Under
- +525-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.