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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds

New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
10 – 9
Final
Mets -1 push
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 5
12:30 PM ET
Truist Park
Atlanta
Braves
SM rating 1536 · #7
NYM 40%ATL 60%
Fair moneyline
+148 / -148
NYM / ATL, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
ATL +11 pts
SharpModels 60% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1536
NYM / ATL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 11 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mets
Moneyline
-115
bet365
-118 -115 -115
Braves
Moneyline
-103
DraftKings
-103 -105 -105
Mets
Spread
-1.5+145
BetMGM
-1+112 -1.5+145 +1.5-222
Braves
Spread
+1.5-179
BetMGM
+1-147 +1.5-179 -1.5+180
Over
Total
8.5-102
BetMGM
8.5-104 8.5-102 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-115
bet365
8.5-116 8.5-118 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.6%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ATL line
-4.5
NYM +4.5
+547-1000 - -
-4
NYM +4
+522-1000 - -
-3.5
NYM +3.5
+389-625 +400-625 -
-3
NYM +3
+361-556 - -
-2.5
NYM +2.5
+268-385 +270-385 -
-2
NYM +2
+237-333 - -
-1.5
NYM +1.5
+173-233 +180-238 +180-222
-1
NYM +1
+134-179 - -
+1
NYM -1
-147+112 - -
+1.5
NYM -1.5
-175+143 -179+145 -
+2
NYM -2
-263+191 - -
+2.5
NYM -2.5
-312+223 -303+220 -
+3
NYM -3
-455+304 - -
+3.5
NYM -3.5
-526+334 -476+325 -
+4
NYM -4
-833+466 - -
+4.5
NYM -4.5
-909+496 - -
+5
NYM -5
-1667+700 - -

Top number: ATL at that line; bottom: NYM at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+466 -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-714+421 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+265 -400+280 -
6
Over / Under
-345+241 -357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-256+186 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-208+157 -222+165 -
7.5
Over / Under
-152+116 -154+118 -
8
Over / Under
-130-101 -128+100 -
8.5
Over / Under
-104-116 -102-118 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+116-152 +120-154 +100-120
9.5
Over / Under
+138-185 +145-189 -
10
Over / Under
+167-227 +180-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+185-250 +200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+243-345 +270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+269-385 +290-417 -
12
Over / Under
+334-526 +350-526 -
12.5
Over / Under
+353-556 +375-588 -
13
Over / Under
+447-769 +500-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
+453-769 +525-909 -
14
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.