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Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
11 – 5
Final
Nationals -1.5 did not cover
Over 10
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 5
1:00 PM ET
Nationals Park
Washington
Nationals
SM rating 1462 · #25
PIT 47%WSH 53%
Fair moneyline
+114 / -114
PIT / WSH, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PIT +3 pts
SharpModels 47% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1462
PIT / WSH, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
+125
bet365
+115 +120 +125
Nationals
Moneyline
-139
DraftKings
-139 -143 -149
Pirates
Spread
+1-130
DraftKings
+1-130 +1.5-169 +1.5-169
Nationals
Spread
-1.5+145
bet365
-1-101 -1.5+140 -1.5+145
Over
Total
10-110
bet365
10-110 10-115 10-110
Under
Total
10-105
BetMGM
10-111 10-105 10-110
Margin
Moneyline
2.5% 4.5%4.1%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

WSH line
-5
PIT +5
+513-1000 - -
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+389-625 - -
-4
PIT +4
+364-588 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+277-400 +300-455 -
-3
PIT +3
+253-357 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+198-270 +210-294 -
-2
PIT +2
+173-233 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+140-172 +140-169 +145-169
-1
PIT +1
-101-130 - -
+1
PIT -1
-189+143 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-227+168 -238+175 -
+2
PIT -2
-303+219 - -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-345+245 -357+250 -
+3
PIT -3
-500+329 - -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-556+356 -588+375 -
+4
PIT -4
-833+475 - -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-909+500 - -

Top number: WSH at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
6
Over / Under
- -833+475 -
6.5
Over / Under
-500+324 -556+360 -
7
Over / Under
-435+290 -500+325 -
7.5
Over / Under
-286+204 -333+240 -
8
Over / Under
-250+185 -286+210 -
8.5
Over / Under
-200+151 -227+170 -
9
Over / Under
-167+127 -182+140 -
9.5
Over / Under
-132+100 -139+105 -120+100
10
Over / Under
-110-111 -115-105 -110-110
10.5
Over / Under
+101-133 +100-128 -
11
Over / Under
+126-167 +130-169 -
11.5
Over / Under
+146-196 +154-200 -
12
Over / Under
+173-233 +185-250 -
12.5
Over / Under
+189-256 +200-278 -
13
Over / Under
+241-345 +250-357 -
13.5
Over / Under
+264-385 +280-400 -
14
Over / Under
+317-476 +340-526 -
14.5
Over / Under
+333-500 +360-556 -
15
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
15.5
Over / Under
- +475-833 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.