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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres odds

Arizona
Diamondbacks
SM rating 1520 · #10
8 – 0
Final
Padres -1.5 did not cover
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, July 6
9:40 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #5
ARI 44%SD 56%
Fair moneyline
+129 / -129
ARI / SD, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +3 pts
SharpModels 56% · market 54% (no vig)
Ratings
1520 / 1552
ARI / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Diamondbacks
Moneyline
+110
bet365
+105 +105 +110
Padres
Moneyline
-127
DraftKings
-127 -128 -130
Diamondbacks
Spread
+1-149
DraftKings
+1-149 +1.5-200 +1.5-200
Padres
Spread
-1.5+165
bet365
-1+114 -1.5+165 -1.5+165
Over
Total
8.5+100
BetMGM
8.5-103 8.5+100 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-115
bet365
8.5-118 8.5-120 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.4% 4.5%4.7%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-5
ARI +5
+730-2000 - -
-4.5
ARI +4.5
+524-1000 - -
-4
ARI +4
+497-909 - -
-3.5
ARI +3.5
+363-588 +375-588 -
-3
ARI +3
+335-526 - -
-2.5
ARI +2.5
+248-357 +250-357 -
-2
ARI +2
+216-303 - -
-1.5
ARI +1.5
+163-200 +165-200 +165-200
-1
ARI +1
+114-149 - -
+1
ARI -1
-179+135 - -
+1.5
ARI -1.5
-222+164 -222+165 -
+2
ARI -2
-312+222 - -
+2.5
ARI -2.5
-357+252 -357+250 -
+3
ARI -3
-556+350 - -
+3.5
ARI -3.5
-625+381 -588+375 -
+4
ARI -4
-1000+526 - -
+4.5
ARI -4.5
-1111+554 - -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: ARI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+475 -833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-714+429 -714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+269 -400+275 -
6
Over / Under
-345+244 -357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-256+187 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-208+155 -222+165 -
7.5
Over / Under
-149+114 -154+118 -
8
Over / Under
-127-103 -128-102 -
8.5
Over / Under
-103-118 +100-120 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+121-159 +125-161 -
9.5
Over / Under
+145-192 +150-200 -
10
Over / Under
+176-238 +185-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+195-270 +200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+260-370 +270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+288-417 +290-417 -
12
Over / Under
+355-556 +360-556 -
12.5
Over / Under
+373-588 +375-588 -
13
Over / Under
+486-909 +525-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.