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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds

New York
Mets
7 – 6
Final
Braves -1.5 did not cover
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Monday, July 6
7:15 PM ET
Truist Park
Atlanta
Braves
NYM 40%ATL 60%
Fair moneyline
+151 / -151
NYM / ATL, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
ATL +7 pts
SharpModels 60% · market 53% (no vig)
Ratings
- / -
NYM / ATL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mets
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
+104 +105 +105
Braves
Moneyline
-125
BetMGM
-127 -125 -125
Mets
Spread
+1.5-185
bet365
+1-145 +1.5-189 +1.5-185
Braves
Spread
-1.5+155
BetMGM
-1+110 -1.5+155 -1.5+155
Over
Total
9-110
DraftKings
9-110 9-110 9-110
Under
Total
9-110
BetMGM
9-111 9-110 9-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.7%4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ATL line
-5
NYM +5
+700-1667 - -
-4.5
NYM +4.5
+504-909 - -
-4
NYM +4
+474-833 - -
-3.5
NYM +3.5
+339-526 +350-526 -
-3
NYM +3
+309-455 - -
-2.5
NYM +2.5
+224-312 +240-333 -
-2
NYM +2
+197-270 - -
-1.5
NYM +1.5
+154-189 +155-189 +155-185
-1
NYM +1
+110-145 - -
+1
NYM -1
-179+135 - -
+1.5
NYM -1.5
-222+165 -208+160 -
+2
NYM -2
-312+226 - -
+2.5
NYM -2.5
-370+256 -333+240 -
+3
NYM -3
-556+354 - -
+3.5
NYM -3.5
-625+384 -556+360 -
+4
NYM -4
-1000+536 - -
+4.5
NYM -4.5
-1111+566 - -

Top number: ATL at that line; bottom: NYM at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5.5
Over / Under
-588+365 -556+360 -
6
Over / Under
-526+337 -500+333 -
6.5
Over / Under
-357+251 -357+250 -
7
Over / Under
-303+216 -303+220 -
7.5
Over / Under
-204+153 -208+160 -
8
Over / Under
-179+134 -182+140 -
8.5
Over / Under
-145+110 -149+115 -
9
Over / Under
-110-111 -110-110 -110-110
9.5
Over / Under
+111-147 +115-149 -
10
Over / Under
+133-175 +135-179 -
10.5
Over / Under
+150-200 +154-200 -
11
Over / Under
+196-270 +200-278 -
11.5
Over / Under
+222-312 +220-303 -
12
Over / Under
+273-400 +270-385 -
12.5
Over / Under
+292-435 +290-417 -
13
Over / Under
+394-667 +375-588 -
13.5
Over / Under
+422-714 +400-667 -
14
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +525-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.