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Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals odds

Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
1 – 15
Final
Phillies -2 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, July 6
2:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
PHI 57%KC 43%
Fair moneyline
-134 / +134
PHI / KC, no vig
Market win %
66% / 34%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +9 pts
SharpModels 43% · market 34% (no vig)
Ratings
1544 / 1462
PHI / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Phillies
Moneyline
-222
DraftKings
-222 -227 -222
Royals
Moneyline
+185
BetMGM
+178 +185 +180
Phillies
Spread
-2.5+110
BetMGM
-2-115 -2.5+110 -1.5-141
Royals
Spread
+1.5+120
bet365
+2-114 +2.5-130 +1.5+120
Over
Total
8.5-112
DraftKings
8.5-112 8.5-115 8.5-115
Under
Total
8.5-105
bet365
8.5-108 8.5-105 8.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.7%4.3%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-2.5
PHI +2.5
+531-1000 - -
-2
PHI +2
+495-909 - -
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+334-526 - -
-1
PHI +1
+281-417 - -
+1
PHI -1
+144-192 - -
+1.5
PHI -1.5
+114-139 +115-149 +120-141
+2
PHI -2
-114-115 - -
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-143+108 -130+110 -
+3
PHI -3
-185+139 - -
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-217+163 -238+175 -
+4
PHI -4
-294+212 - -
+4.5
PHI -4.5
-333+237 -357+250 -
+5
PHI -5
-476+311 - -
+5.5
PHI -5.5
-526+337 -556+360 -
+6
PHI -6
-769+443 - -
+6.5
PHI -6.5
-833+468 -909+500 -
+7
PHI -7
-1429+620 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1450 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -909+525 -
5
Over / Under
-714+433 -833+475 -
5.5
Over / Under
-400+279 -455+300 -
6
Over / Under
-357+252 -400+280 -
6.5
Over / Under
-263+192 -294+210 -
7
Over / Under
-217+163 -238+180 -
7.5
Over / Under
-159+121 -169+130 -
8
Over / Under
-139+105 -143+110 -
8.5
Over / Under
-112-108 -115-105 -115-105
9
Over / Under
+108-143 +105-139 -
9.5
Over / Under
+130-172 +130-169 -
10
Over / Under
+156-208 +160-208 -
10.5
Over / Under
+173-233 +180-238 -
11
Over / Under
+224-312 +240-333 -
11.5
Over / Under
+249-357 +250-357 -
12
Over / Under
+305-455 +325-476 -
12.5
Over / Under
+323-500 +340-526 -
13
Over / Under
+423-714 +450-769 -
13.5
Over / Under
+434-714 +475-833 -
14
Over / Under
- +600-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.