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Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

Atlanta
Braves
SM rating 1536 · #7
3 – 0
Final
Pirates -1.5 did not cover
Under 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, July 8
6:40 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
ATL 51%PIT 49%
Fair moneyline
-106 / +106
ATL / PIT, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
ATL +5 pts
SharpModels 51% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1536 / 1493
ATL / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Braves
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+102 +105 +105
Pirates
Moneyline
-123
DraftKings
-123 -125 -125
Braves
Spread
+1-152
DraftKings
+1-152 +1.5-208 +1.5-200
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+165
bet365
-1+116 -1.5+155 -1.5+165
Over
Total
9.5-101
DraftKings
9.5-101 9.5-102 9-125
Under
Total
9+105
bet365
9.5-120 9.5-118 9+105
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.5%4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-4.5
ATL +4.5
+500-909 - -
-4
ATL +4
+470-833 - -
-3.5
ATL +3.5
+340-526 +350-526 -
-3
ATL +3
+313-476 - -
-2.5
ATL +2.5
+234-333 +240-333 -
-2
ATL +2
+207-286 - -
-1.5
ATL +1.5
+156-208 +155-208 +165-200
-1
ATL +1
+116-152 - -
+1
ATL -1
-169+128 - -
+1.5
ATL -1.5
-196+160 -200+165 -
+2
ATL -2
-286+204 - -
+2.5
ATL -2.5
-323+231 -333+240 -
+3
ATL -3
-455+308 - -
+3.5
ATL -3.5
-526+335 -500+333 -
+4
ATL -4
-769+450 - -
+4.5
ATL -4.5
-833+476 - -
+5
ATL -5
-1429+640 - -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: ATL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -3333+950 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
5
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
5.5
Over / Under
-625+383 -714+425 -
6
Over / Under
-556+357 -625+400 -
6.5
Over / Under
-400+270 -455+300 -
7
Over / Under
-333+237 -385+270 -
7.5
Over / Under
-227+169 -250+185 -
8
Over / Under
-200+150 -222+165 -
8.5
Over / Under
-161+123 -175+135 -
9
Over / Under
-132+101 -139+105 -125+105
9.5
Over / Under
-101-120 -102-118 -
10
Over / Under
+112-147 +110-143 -
10.5
Over / Under
+128-169 +130-169 -
11
Over / Under
+163-217 +165-222 -
11.5
Over / Under
+186-256 +185-250 -
12
Over / Under
+224-312 +240-333 -
12.5
Over / Under
+241-345 +250-357 -
13
Over / Under
+317-476 +325-500 -
13.5
Over / Under
+343-526 +350-526 -
14
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +450-769 -
15
Over / Under
- +600-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.