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Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds odds

Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
5 – 11
Final
Reds -1.5 covered
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, July 8
7:00 PM ET
Great American Ball Park
Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
PHI 54%CIN 46%
Fair moneyline
-117 / +117
PHI / CIN, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +10 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1544 / 1485
PHI / CIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 10 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Phillies
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+119 +120 +120
Reds
Moneyline
-141
bet365
-145 -143 -141
Phillies
Spread
+1-127
DraftKings
+1-127 +1.5-169 +1.5-169
Reds
Spread
-1.5+145
bet365
-1-103 -1.5+140 -1.5+145
Over
Total
9+101
DraftKings
9+101 8.5-128 8.5-120
Under
Total
8.5+100
bet365
9-123 8.5+100 8.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.6%4.1%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CIN line
-5.5
PHI +5.5
+600-1250 - -
-5
PHI +5
+586-1250 - -
-4.5
PHI +4.5
+437-769 - -
-4
PHI +4
+410-667 - -
-3.5
PHI +3.5
+305-455 +300-455 -
-3
PHI +3
+277-400 - -
-2.5
PHI +2.5
+207-286 +210-286 -
-2
PHI +2
+180-244 - -
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+141-172 +140-169 +145-169
-1
PHI +1
-103-127 - -
+1
PHI -1
-208+156 - -
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-256+186 -250+185 -
+2
PHI -2
-370+254 - -
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-417+285 -400+275 -
+3
PHI -3
-625+390 - -
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-714+419 -625+400 -
+4
PHI -4
-1250+581 - -
+4.5
PHI -4.5
-1250+610 - -

Top number: CIN at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1550 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5
Over / Under
- -909+525 -
5.5
Over / Under
-476+315 -500+325 -
6
Over / Under
-435+289 -455+300 -
6.5
Over / Under
-303+220 -333+240 -
7
Over / Under
-256+188 -278+200 -
7.5
Over / Under
-179+135 -189+145 -
8
Over / Under
-156+118 -161+125 -
8.5
Over / Under
-130-101 -128+100 -120+100
9
Over / Under
+101-123 +105-125 -
9.5
Over / Under
+120-156 +125-161 -
10
Over / Under
+144-192 +150-200 -
10.5
Over / Under
+161-217 +170-227 -
11
Over / Under
+209-286 +220-303 -
11.5
Over / Under
+234-333 +240-333 -
12
Over / Under
+287-417 +300-455 -
12.5
Over / Under
+306-455 +320-476 -
13
Over / Under
+406-667 +425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+432-714 +450-769 -
14
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.