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Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles odds

Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
2 – 3
Final
Orioles -1.5 did not cover
Under 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, July 9
1:30 PM ET
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Baltimore
Orioles
SM rating 1502 · #14
CHC 52%BAL 48%
Fair moneyline
-107 / +107
CHC / BAL, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +6 pts
SharpModels 52% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1502
CHC / BAL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Cubs
Moneyline
+110
BetMGM
+108 +110 +110
Orioles
Moneyline
-130
BetMGM
-132 -130 -130
Cubs
Spread
+1-143
DraftKings
+1-143 +1.5-189 +1.5-185
Orioles
Spread
-1.5+155
BetMGM
-1+108 -1.5+155 -1.5+155
Over
Total
9.5-115
bet365
10-105 9.5-118 9.5-115
Under
Total
10-115
DraftKings
10-115 9.5-102 9.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.7%4.0%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BAL line
-4.5
CHC +4.5
+491-909 - -
-4
CHC +4
+463-833 - -
-3.5
CHC +3.5
+338-526 +340-500 -
-3
CHC +3
+309-476 - -
-2.5
CHC +2.5
+228-323 +240-333 -
-2
CHC +2
+199-270 - -
-1.5
CHC +1.5
+155-189 +155-189 +155-185
-1
CHC +1
+108-143 - -
+1
CHC -1
-182+137 - -
+1.5
CHC -1.5
-222+164 -208+160 -
+2
CHC -2
-303+215 - -
+2.5
CHC -2.5
-345+241 -333+240 -
+3
CHC -3
-500+322 - -
+3.5
CHC -3.5
-556+349 -500+333 -
+4
CHC -4
-833+462 - -
+4.5
CHC -4.5
-909+486 - -
+5
CHC -5
-1429+650 - -

Top number: BAL at that line; bottom: CHC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -769+450 -
6
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
6.5
Over / Under
-500+331 -500+325 -
7
Over / Under
-435+296 -417+290 -
7.5
Over / Under
-286+205 -286+210 -
8
Over / Under
-250+184 -250+185 -
8.5
Over / Under
-196+148 -200+150 -
9
Over / Under
-164+124 -161+125 -
9.5
Over / Under
-127-103 -118-102 -115-105
10
Over / Under
-105-115 -105-125 -
10.5
Over / Under
+105-139 +110-143 -
11
Over / Under
+133-175 +145-189 -
11.5
Over / Under
+156-208 +170-227 -
12
Over / Under
+187-256 +200-278 -
12.5
Over / Under
+204-286 +220-303 -
13
Over / Under
+268-385 +290-417 -
13.5
Over / Under
+294-435 +310-455 -
14
Over / Under
+358-556 +375-588 -
14.5
Over / Under
+375-588 +400-625 -
15
Over / Under
- +525-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.