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Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins odds

Seattle
Mariners
SM rating 1495 · #15
4 – 8
Final
Mariners -1.5 did not cover
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, July 9
6:40 PM ET
loanDepot park
Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
SEA 48%MIA 52%
Fair moneyline
+107 / -107
SEA / MIA, no vig
Market win %
54% / 46%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIA +6 pts
SharpModels 52% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1495 / 1491
SEA / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mariners
Moneyline
-130
bet365
-132 -133 -130
Marlins
Moneyline
+110
BetMGM
+109 +110 +110
Mariners
Spread
-1.5+135
BetMGM
-1-103 -1.5+135 -1.5+135
Marlins
Spread
+1.5-159
bet365
+1-127 +1.5-161 +1.5-159
Over
Total
8-110
BetMGM
8-115 8-110 8-110
Under
Total
8-105
DraftKings
8-105 8-110 8-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.5%4.5%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-4
SEA +4
+710-1667 - -
-3.5
SEA +3.5
+518-1000 +475-833 -
-3
SEA +3
+487-909 - -
-2.5
SEA +2.5
+344-526 +325-500 -
-2
SEA +2
+312-476 - -
-1.5
SEA +1.5
+223-312 +210-286 -
-1
SEA +1
+170-233 - -
+1
SEA -1
-127-103 - -
+1.5
SEA -1.5
-159+130 -161+135 -159+135
+2
SEA -2
-222+166 - -
+2.5
SEA -2.5
-263+194 -286+210 -
+3
SEA -3
-370+261 - -
+3.5
SEA -3.5
-435+289 -455+300 -
+4
SEA -4
-667+395 - -
+4.5
SEA -4.5
-714+424 - -
+5
SEA -5
-1250+586 - -
+5.5
SEA -5.5
-1250+610 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: SEA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1250 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
4
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
4.5
Over / Under
-769+435 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-625+389 -625+400 -
5.5
Over / Under
-345+243 -357+250 -
6
Over / Under
-312+221 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-238+176 -238+180 -
7
Over / Under
-192+145 -200+150 -
7.5
Over / Under
-139+106 -139+105 -
8
Over / Under
-115-105 -110-110 -110-110
8.5
Over / Under
-102-128 +105-139 -
9
Over / Under
+126-167 +140-182 -
9.5
Over / Under
+150-200 +165-222 -
10
Over / Under
+181-244 +200-278 -
10.5
Over / Under
+198-270 +220-303 -
11
Over / Under
+266-385 +300-455 -
11.5
Over / Under
+294-435 +325-476 -
12
Over / Under
+362-588 +400-625 -
12.5
Over / Under
+380-625 +425-714 -
13
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.