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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds

Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
0 – 4
Final
Cubs -1.5 did not cover
Under 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, July 10
7:10 PM ET
Great American Ball Park
Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
CHC 52%CIN 48%
Fair moneyline
-109 / +109
CHC / CIN, no vig
Market win %
52% / 48%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +0 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 48% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1485
CHC / CIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Cubs
Moneyline
-120
bet365
-122 -120 -120
Reds
Moneyline
+101
DraftKings
+101 +100 +100
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+145
BetMGM
-1+105 -1.5+145 -1.5+140
Reds
Spread
+1.5-164
bet365
+1-137 +1.5-175 +1.5-164
Over
Total
9.5+100
bet365
9.5-103 9.5+100 9.5+100
Under
Total
9.5-118
DraftKings
9.5-118 9.5-120 9.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.5%4.3%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CIN line
-4.5
CHC +4.5
+568-1111 - -
-4
CHC +4
+544-1000 - -
-3.5
CHC +3.5
+412-667 +425-714 -
-3
CHC +3
+386-625 - -
-2.5
CHC +2.5
+289-435 +290-417 -
-2
CHC +2
+259-370 - -
-1.5
CHC +1.5
+192-263 +185-250 -
-1
CHC +1
+148-196 - -
+1
CHC -1
-137+105 - -
+1.5
CHC -1.5
-169+138 -175+145 -164+140
+2
CHC -2
-238+174 - -
+2.5
CHC -2.5
-278+201 -303+220 -
+3
CHC -3
-385+267 - -
+3.5
CHC -3.5
-435+295 -455+310 -
+4
CHC -4
-625+390 - -
+4.5
CHC -4.5
-714+416 - -
+5
CHC -5
-1111+554 - -
+5.5
CHC -5.5
-1111+577 - -

Top number: CIN at that line; bottom: CHC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -3333+950 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
5
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
5.5
Over / Under
-625+381 -714+425 -
6
Over / Under
-556+356 -625+400 -
6.5
Over / Under
-400+272 -417+290 -
7
Over / Under
-333+238 -357+250 -
7.5
Over / Under
-227+169 -250+185 -
8
Over / Under
-200+151 -208+160 -
8.5
Over / Under
-164+125 -169+130 -
9
Over / Under
-135+103 -139+105 -
9.5
Over / Under
-103-118 +100-120 +100-120
10
Over / Under
+110-145 +115-149 -
10.5
Over / Under
+126-167 +130-169 -
11
Over / Under
+160-213 +170-227 -
11.5
Over / Under
+183-250 +200-278 -
12
Over / Under
+221-312 +240-333 -
12.5
Over / Under
+238-333 +250-357 -
13
Over / Under
+311-476 +333-500 -
13.5
Over / Under
+335-526 +360-556 -
14
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +450-769 -
15
Over / Under
- +600-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.