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Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins odds

Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
3 – 2
Final
Marlins -1.5 did not cover
Under 7
vs the most common closing line
Friday, July 10
7:10 PM ET
loanDepot park
Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
CLE 47%MIA 53%
Fair moneyline
+112 / -112
CLE / MIA, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +0 pts
SharpModels 47% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1516 / 1491
CLE / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Guardians
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+104 +105 +105
Marlins
Moneyline
-125
bet365
-127 -128 -125
Guardians
Spread
+1-159
DraftKings
+1-159 +1.5-208 +1.5-208
Marlins
Spread
-1.5+175
bet365
-1+120 -1.5+170 -1.5+175
Over
Total
7.5+104
DraftKings
7.5+104 7-125 7-125
Under
Total
7+105
bet365
7.5-125 7+105 7+105
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.7%4.7%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-5
CLE +5
+830-2500 - -
-4.5
CLE +4.5
+600-1250 - -
-4
CLE +4
+576-1111 - -
-3.5
CLE +3.5
+409-667 +400-667 -
-3
CLE +3
+376-588 - -
-2.5
CLE +2.5
+264-385 +275-400 -
-2
CLE +2
+233-333 - -
-1.5
CLE +1.5
+176-217 +170-208 +175-208
-1
CLE +1
+120-159 - -
+1
CLE -1
-185+138 - -
+1.5
CLE -1.5
-227+170 -238+175 -
+2
CLE -2
-333+238 - -
+2.5
CLE -2.5
-400+272 -400+280 -
+3
CLE -3
-625+389 - -
+3.5
CLE -3.5
-714+423 -714+425 -
+4
CLE -4
-1250+597 - -
+4.5
CLE -4.5
-1429+620 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: CLE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1700 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1650 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
3
Over / Under
- -3333+950 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
4
Over / Under
- -833+475 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -526+350 -
5
Over / Under
- -455+300 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -278+200 -
6
Over / Under
- -227+170 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -169+130 -
7
Over / Under
-127+104 -125+105 -125+105
7.5
Over / Under
+104-125 +105-139 -
8
Over / Under
- +125-167 -
8.5
Over / Under
- +145-189 -
9
Over / Under
- +200-278 -
9.5
Over / Under
- +220-303 -
10
Over / Under
- +280-400 -
10.5
Over / Under
- +300-455 -
11
Over / Under
- +400-667 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
12
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -
13
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.