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Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals odds

Atlanta
Braves
SM rating 1536 · #7
1 – 4
Final
Braves -1.5 did not cover
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, July 11
7:15 PM ET
Busch Stadium
St. Louis
Cardinals
SM rating 1479 · #22
ATL 49%STL 51%
Fair moneyline
+103 / -103
ATL / STL, no vig
Market win %
50% / 50%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
STL +1 pts
SharpModels 51% · market 50% (no vig)
Ratings
1536 / 1479
ATL / STL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Braves
Moneyline
-108
DraftKings
-108 -110 -110
Cardinals
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
-112 -110 -110
Braves
Spread
-1.5+155
BetMGM
-1+119 -1.5+155 -1.5+155
Cardinals
Spread
+1.5-185
bet365
+1-156 +1.5-189 +1.5-185
Over
Total
8.5-105
DraftKings
8.5-105 8.5-105 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-115
DraftKings
8.5-115 8.5-115 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.5%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

STL line
-4.5
ATL +4.5
+630-1429 - -
-4
ATL +4
+600-1250 - -
-3.5
ATL +3.5
+426-714 +425-714 -
-3
ATL +3
+394-625 - -
-2.5
ATL +2.5
+280-417 +280-400 -
-2
ATL +2
+248-357 - -
-1.5
ATL +1.5
+179-244 +180-238 -
-1
ATL +1
+133-175 - -
+1
ATL -1
-156+119 - -
+1.5
ATL -1.5
-189+153 -189+155 -185+155
+2
ATL -2
-270+197 - -
+2.5
ATL -2.5
-312+225 -333+240 -
+3
ATL -3
-476+313 - -
+3.5
ATL -3.5
-526+345 -526+340 -
+4
ATL -4
-833+472 - -
+4.5
ATL -4.5
-909+500 - -
+5
ATL -5
-1667+690 - -

Top number: STL at that line; bottom: ATL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+475 -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-714+429 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+267 -417+290 -
6
Over / Under
-345+242 -385+270 -
6.5
Over / Under
-256+187 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-208+156 -227+170 -
7.5
Over / Under
-149+114 -154+120 -
8
Over / Under
-128-102 -128+100 -
8.5
Over / Under
-105-115 -105-115 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+119-156 +120-154 -
9.5
Over / Under
+143-192 +145-189 -
10
Over / Under
+175-238 +175-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+194-263 +190-250 -
11
Over / Under
+265-385 +250-357 -
11.5
Over / Under
+294-435 +280-400 -
12
Over / Under
+363-588 +350-526 -
12.5
Over / Under
+381-625 +360-556 -
13
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
14
Over / Under
- +625-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.