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Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles odds

Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
1 – 6
Final
Orioles -1.5 covered
Under 9
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, July 11
7:05 PM ET
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Baltimore
Orioles
SM rating 1502 · #14
KC 43%BAL 57%
Fair moneyline
+131 / -131
KC / BAL, no vig
Market win %
40% / 60%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +3 pts
SharpModels 43% · market 40% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1502
KC / BAL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Royals
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+135 +135 +140
Orioles
Moneyline
-164
bet365
-164 -167 -164
Royals
Spread
+1-114
DraftKings
+1-114 +1.5-161 +1.5-159
Orioles
Spread
-1.5+135
bet365
-1-116 -1.5+135 -1.5+135
Over
Total
9-102
BetMGM
9-104 9-102 9-105
Under
Total
9-115
bet365
9-116 9-118 9-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.5%4.9%3.6%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BAL line
-5.5
KC +5.5
+589-1250 +600-1111 -
-5
KC +5
+562-1111 - -
-4.5
KC +4.5
+412-714 +425-714 -
-4
KC +4
+385-625 - -
-3.5
KC +3.5
+286-417 +300-455 -
-3
KC +3
+258-370 - -
-2.5
KC +2.5
+194-263 +200-278 -
-2
KC +2
+167-227 - -
-1.5
KC +1.5
+133-161 +135-161 +135-159
-1
KC +1
-116-114 - -
+1
KC -1
-238+175 - -
+1.5
KC -1.5
-286+205 -278+200 -
+2
KC -2
-417+280 - -
+2.5
KC -2.5
-476+310 - -
+3
KC -3
-714+428 - -
+3.5
KC -3.5
-833+458 - -
+4
KC -4
-1250+620 - -

Top number: BAL at that line; bottom: KC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
5.5
Over / Under
-476+314 -526+350 -
6
Over / Under
-435+290 -476+320 -
6.5
Over / Under
-312+225 -333+240 -
7
Over / Under
-263+194 -286+210 -
7.5
Over / Under
-185+141 -200+150 -
8
Over / Under
-164+124 -169+130 -
8.5
Over / Under
-135+104 -139+105 -
9
Over / Under
-104-116 -102-118 -105-115
9.5
Over / Under
+114-149 +118-154 -
10
Over / Under
+134-179 +145-189 -
10.5
Over / Under
+150-200 +160-208 -
11
Over / Under
+194-263 +210-286 -
11.5
Over / Under
+219-303 +240-333 -
12
Over / Under
+266-385 +290-417 -
12.5
Over / Under
+283-417 +310-455 -
13
Over / Under
+379-625 +400-667 -
13.5
Over / Under
+405-667 +425-714 -
14
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.