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Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1602 · #1
6 – 7
Final
Brewers -1 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, July 11
12:05 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
MIL 58%PIT 42%
Fair moneyline
-136 / +136
MIL / PIT, no vig
Market win %
48% / 52%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIL +9 pts
SharpModels 58% · market 48% (no vig)
Ratings
1602 / 1493
MIL / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings and BetMGM: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Brewers
Moneyline
-102
BetMGM
-103 -102
Pirates
Moneyline
-118
BetMGM
-118 -118
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1+123 -1.5+165
Pirates
Spread
+1.5-200
BetMGM
+1-161 +1.5-200
Over
Total
8.5-110
BetMGM
- 8.5-110
Under
Total
8.5-110
BetMGM
- 8.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.4% 4.6%4.4%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-4.5
MIL +4.5
+557-1111 -
-4
MIL +4
+531-1000 -
-3.5
MIL +3.5
+391-625 +400-625
-3
MIL +3
+361-556 -
-2.5
MIL +2.5
+262-385 +270-385
-2
MIL +2
+232-323 -
-1.5
MIL +1.5
+169-227 +165-222
-1
MIL +1
+126-167 -
+1
MIL -1
-161+123 -
+1.5
MIL -1.5
-196+161 -200+165
+2
MIL -2
-286+204 -
+2.5
MIL -2.5
-333+233 -333+240
+3
MIL -3
-476+316 -
+3.5
MIL -3.5
-526+345 -556+360
+4
MIL -4
-833+475 -
+4.5
MIL -4.5
-909+503 -
+5
MIL -5
-1667+680 -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: MIL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+750
4
Over / Under
- -1667+725
4.5
Over / Under
- -909+525
5
Over / Under
- -833+475
5.5
Over / Under
- -455+300
6
Over / Under
- -400+275
6.5
Over / Under
- -286+210
7
Over / Under
- -238+175
7.5
Over / Under
- -167+125
8
Over / Under
- -139+105
8.5
Over / Under
- -110-110
9
Over / Under
- +115-149
9.5
Over / Under
- +140-182
10
Over / Under
- +170-227
10.5
Over / Under
- +185-250
11
Over / Under
- +250-357
11.5
Over / Under
- +275-400
12
Over / Under
- +340-526
12.5
Over / Under
- +360-556
13
Over / Under
- +475-833
13.5
Over / Under
- +500-909
14
Over / Under
- +625-1250

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.