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Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays odds

Seattle
Mariners
SM rating 1495 · #15
8 – 2
Final
Rays -1.5 did not cover
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 12
1:40 PM ET
Tropicana Field
Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1551 · #5
SEA 45%TB 55%
Fair moneyline
+122 / -122
SEA / TB, no vig
Market win %
42% / 58%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SEA +3 pts
SharpModels 45% · market 42% (no vig)
Ratings
1495 / 1551
SEA / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mariners
Moneyline
+130
BetMGM
+129 +130 +125
Rays
Moneyline
-149
bet365
-156 -154 -149
Mariners
Spread
+1-120
DraftKings
+1-120 +1.5-169 +1.5-169
Rays
Spread
-1.5+145
bet365
-1-109 -1.5+140 -1.5+145
Over
Total
8-102
BetMGM
8-105 8-102 8-105
Under
Total
8-115
DraftKings
8-115 8-118 8-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.4%3.9%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-5.5
SEA +5.5
+670-1429 - -
-5
SEA +5
+640-1429 - -
-4.5
SEA +4.5
+470-833 - -
-4
SEA +4
+441-769 - -
-3.5
SEA +3.5
+318-476 +325-476 -
-3
SEA +3
+289-435 - -
-2.5
SEA +2.5
+213-294 +220-303 -
-2
SEA +2
+183-250 - -
-1.5
SEA +1.5
+141-172 +140-169 +145-169
-1
SEA +1
-109-120 - -
+1
SEA -1
-233+172 - -
+1.5
SEA -1.5
-286+205 -278+200 -
+2
SEA -2
-417+285 - -
+2.5
SEA -2.5
-476+317 -455+310 -
+3
SEA -3
-769+443 - -
+3.5
SEA -3.5
-833+473 -769+450 -
+4
SEA -4
-1429+660 - -
+4.5
SEA -4.5
-1667+680 - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: SEA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1200 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1150 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
4
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
4.5
Over / Under
-714+413 -714+425 -
5
Over / Under
-588+367 -588+375 -
5.5
Over / Under
-323+231 -333+240 -
6
Over / Under
-286+208 -303+220 -
6.5
Over / Under
-217+163 -227+170 -
7
Over / Under
-179+134 -182+140 -
7.5
Over / Under
-132+101 -128+100 -
8
Over / Under
-105-115 -102-118 -105-115
8.5
Over / Under
+105-139 +110-143 -
9
Over / Under
+139-185 +150-200 -
9.5
Over / Under
+167-227 +180-238 -
10
Over / Under
+205-286 +220-303 -
10.5
Over / Under
+224-312 +240-333 -
11
Over / Under
+301-455 +320-476 -
11.5
Over / Under
+330-500 +350-526 -
12
Over / Under
+412-667 +425-714 -
12.5
Over / Under
+431-714 +450-769 -
13
Over / Under
- +600-1111 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +625-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.