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Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres odds

Toronto
Blue Jays
SM rating 1515 · #12
4 – 5
Final
Blue Jays -1.5 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 12
4:10 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
TOR 46%SD 54%
Fair moneyline
+117 / -117
TOR / SD, no vig
Market win %
53% / 47%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +7 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1515 / 1552
TOR / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Blue Jays
Moneyline
-125
bet365
-127 -128 -125
Padres
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+105 +105 +105
Blue Jays
Spread
-1-101
DraftKings
-1-101 -1.5+125 -1.5+125
Padres
Spread
+1.5-149
bet365
+1-128 +1.5-154 +1.5-149
Over
Total
8.5-120
bet365
8.5-123 8.5-120 8.5-120
Under
Total
8.5+101
DraftKings
8.5+101 8.5+100 8.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.5%4.7%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-4
TOR +4
+670-1667 - -
-3.5
TOR +3.5
+486-909 +450-769 -
-3
TOR +3
+457-833 - -
-2.5
TOR +2.5
+330-500 +310-455 -
-2
TOR +2
+298-455 - -
-1.5
TOR +1.5
+214-294 +200-278 -
-1
TOR +1
+163-217 - -
+1
TOR -1
-128-101 - -
+1.5
TOR -1.5
-156+129 -154+125 -149+125
+2
TOR -2
-222+164 - -
+2.5
TOR -2.5
-263+190 -250+185 -
+3
TOR -3
-370+254 - -
+3.5
TOR -3.5
-417+282 -385+270 -
+4
TOR -4
-625+384 - -
+4.5
TOR -4.5
-667+412 - -
+5
TOR -5
-1111+571 - -
+5.5
TOR -5.5
-1250+598 - -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: TOR at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1550 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
5.5
Over / Under
-476+311 -476+320 -
6
Over / Under
-417+286 -417+290 -
6.5
Over / Under
-312+220 -303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-256+188 -250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-182+136 -179+135 -
8
Over / Under
-156+118 -154+118 -
8.5
Over / Under
-123+101 -120+100 -120+100
9
Over / Under
-101-128 +105-139 -
9.5
Over / Under
+121-159 +130-169 -
10
Over / Under
+144-192 +155-208 -
10.5
Over / Under
+160-217 +175-238 -
11
Over / Under
+211-294 +220-303 -
11.5
Over / Under
+238-333 +250-357 -
12
Over / Under
+291-435 +310-455 -
12.5
Over / Under
+309-476 +325-500 -
13
Over / Under
+415-714 +425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+441-769 +450-769 -
14
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.