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Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers odds

Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
1 – 2
Final
Brewers -1.5 did not cover
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, July 17
7:40 PM ET
American Family Field
Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
MIA 38%MIL 62%
Fair moneyline
+161 / -161
MIA / MIL, no vig
Market win %
42% / 58%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIL +4 pts
SharpModels 62% · market 58% (no vig)
Ratings
1491 / 1604
MIA / MIL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Marlins
Moneyline
+125
BetMGM
+124 +125 +125
Brewers
Moneyline
-149
bet365
-152 -154 -149
Marlins
Spread
+1-123
DraftKings
+1-123 +1.5-167 +1.5-164
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+140
bet365
-1-108 -1.5+135 -1.5+140
Over
Total
8-115
bet365
8.5-105 8.5-105 8-115
Under
Total
8.5-115
BetMGM
8.5-116 8.5-115 8-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.7%4.8%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIL line
-5.5
MIA +5.5
+650-1429 - -
-5
MIA +5
+600-1250 - -
-4.5
MIA +4.5
+436-769 - -
-4
MIA +4
+408-667 - -
-3.5
MIA +3.5
+301-455 +300-455 -
-3
MIA +3
+273-400 - -
-2.5
MIA +2.5
+204-286 +200-278 -
-2
MIA +2
+177-238 - -
-1.5
MIA +1.5
+139-169 +135-167 +140-164
-1
MIA +1
-108-123 - -
+1
MIA -1
-217+161 - -
+1.5
MIA -1.5
-263+191 -278+200 -
+2
MIA -2
-370+260 - -
+2.5
MIA -2.5
-435+290 -417+290 -
+3
MIA -3
-667+395 - -
+3.5
MIA -3.5
-714+423 -714+425 -
+4
MIA -4
-1250+591 - -
+4.5
MIA -4.5
-1250+620 - -

Top number: MIL at that line; bottom: MIA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+460 -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-714+428 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+262 -400+280 -
6
Over / Under
-333+238 -357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-250+184 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-204+154 -222+165 -
7.5
Over / Under
-149+114 -154+120 -
8
Over / Under
-128-101 -128+100 -115-105
8.5
Over / Under
-105-116 -105-115 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+116-152 +120-154 -
9.5
Over / Under
+139-185 +145-189 -
10
Over / Under
+167-227 +180-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+184-250 +200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+242-345 +270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+268-385 +290-417 -
12
Over / Under
+327-500 +360-556 -
12.5
Over / Under
+345-526 +375-588 -
13
Over / Under
+460-833 +500-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.