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Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs odds

Minnesota
Twins
SM rating 1468 · #23
5 – 2
Final
Cubs -1.5 did not cover
Under 11
vs the most common closing line
Friday, July 17
8:05 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
MIN 39%CHC 61%
Fair moneyline
+157 / -157
MIN / CHC, no vig
Market win %
42% / 58%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +4 pts
SharpModels 61% · market 58% (no vig)
Ratings
1468 / 1530
MIN / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Twins
Moneyline
+125
bet365
+125 +125 +125
Cubs
Moneyline
-149
bet365
-152 -154 -149
Twins
Spread
+1-116
DraftKings
+1-116 +1.5-154 +1.5-154
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+130
bet365
-1-112 -1.5+125 -1.5+130
Over
Total
11-118
BetMGM
11-119 11-118 11-120
Under
Total
11+100
bet365
11-102 11-102 11+100
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.5%4.8%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-5.5
MIN +5.5
+483-833 - -
-5
MIN +5
+461-833 - -
-4.5
MIN +4.5
+359-556 - -
-4
MIN +4
+335-526 - -
-3.5
MIN +3.5
+258-370 +250-357 -
-3
MIN +3
+234-333 - -
-2.5
MIN +2.5
+181-244 +180-238 -
-2
MIN +2
+157-213 - -
-1.5
MIN +1.5
+128-156 +125-154 +130-154
-1
MIN +1
-112-116 - -
+1
MIN -1
-204+154 - -
+1.5
MIN -1.5
-238+178 -238+180 -
+2
MIN -2
-323+232 - -
+2.5
MIN -2.5
-370+257 -357+250 -
+3
MIN -3
-526+335 - -
+3.5
MIN -3.5
-556+359 -556+360 -
+4
MIN -4
-833+476 - -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: MIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
5.5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
6
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
7
Over / Under
- -833+475 -
7.5
Over / Under
-455+305 -476+320 -
8
Over / Under
-417+284 -455+300 -
8.5
Over / Under
-312+226 -333+240 -
9
Over / Under
-270+199 -286+210 -
9.5
Over / Under
-200+152 -208+155 -
10
Over / Under
-179+135 -182+140 -
10.5
Over / Under
-149+114 -149+115 -
11
Over / Under
-119-102 -118-102 -120+100
11.5
Over / Under
-101-130 +105-139 -
12
Over / Under
+115-152 +125-161 -
12.5
Over / Under
+129-169 +140-182 -
13
Over / Under
+160-217 +175-238 -
13.5
Over / Under
+181-244 +200-278 -
14
Over / Under
+216-303 +240-333 -
14.5
Over / Under
+232-333 +250-357 -
15
Over / Under
+297-435 +325-500 -
15.5
Over / Under
+320-476 +350-526 -
16
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
16.5
Over / Under
- +425-714 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.