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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
7 – 1
Final
Guardians -1.5 did not cover
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, July 18
1:10 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
PIT 42%CLE 58%
Fair moneyline
+139 / -139
PIT / CLE, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +4 pts
SharpModels 58% · market 54% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1516
PIT / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings and BetMGM: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
+110
BetMGM
+109 +110
Guardians
Moneyline
-132
DraftKings
-132 -133
Pirates
Spread
+1-149
DraftKings
+1-149 +1.5-200
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1+113 -1.5+165
Over
Total
7.5-114
DraftKings
7.5-114 7.5-115
Under
Total
7.5-105
BetMGM
7.5-106 7.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.3% 4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-5
PIT +5
+780-2000 -
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+561-1111 -
-4
PIT +4
+532-1000 -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+382-625 +400-625
-3
PIT +3
+352-556 -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+255-370 +250-357
-2
PIT +2
+222-312 -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+167-204 +165-200
-1
PIT +1
+113-149 -
+1
PIT -1
-196+147 -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-244+181 -238+175
+2
PIT -2
-370+255 -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-435+289 -400+280
+3
PIT -3
-667+411 -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-769+443 -714+425
+4
PIT -4
-1429+620 -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-1429+650 -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+2000
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1150
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1100
3.5
Over / Under
- -1111+600
4
Over / Under
- -1111+575
4.5
Over / Under
-588+375 -667+400
5
Over / Under
-500+330 -556+360
5.5
Over / Under
-294+211 -303+225
6
Over / Under
-256+188 -278+200
6.5
Over / Under
-196+148 -208+155
7
Over / Under
-156+120 -167+125
7.5
Over / Under
-114-106 -115-105
8
Over / Under
+101-133 +100-128
8.5
Over / Under
+118-156 +120-154
9
Over / Under
+156-208 +160-208
9.5
Over / Under
+184-250 +185-250
10
Over / Under
+225-312 +240-333
10.5
Over / Under
+244-345 +250-357
11
Over / Under
+332-500 +340-526
11.5
Over / Under
+361-556 +360-556
12
Over / Under
+451-769 +450-769
12.5
Over / Under
+471-833 +475-833
13
Over / Under
- +625-1250

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.