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San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #5
1 – 6
Final
Padres -1.5 did not cover
Under 11
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, July 18
4:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
SD 54%KC 46%
Fair moneyline
-116 / +116
SD / KC, no vig
Market win %
50% / 50%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +4 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 50% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1462
SD / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
-111 -110 -110
Royals
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
-110 -110 -110
Padres
Spread
-1+110
DraftKings
-1+110 -1.5+135 -1.5+140
Royals
Spread
+1.5-164
bet365
+1-145 +1.5-167 +1.5-164
Over
Total
11-104
DraftKings
11-104 11-105 11-110
Under
Total
11-110
bet365
11-116 11-115 11-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.5% 4.8%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-4.5
SD +4.5
+487-909 - -
-4
SD +4
+462-833 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+351-556 +375-588 -
-3
SD +3
+325-500 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+247-357 +270-385 -
-2
SD +2
+223-312 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+173-233 +170-227 -
-1
SD +1
+131-172 - -
+1
SD -1
-145+110 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-169+137 -167+135 -164+140
+2
SD -2
-227+168 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-263+190 -278+200 -
+3
SD -3
-357+247 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-400+272 -385+270 -
+4
SD -4
-556+355 - -
+4.5
SD -4.5
-625+379 - -
+5
SD -5
-909+504 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
5.5
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
6
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -769+450 -
7
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
7.5
Over / Under
-400+279 -455+300 -
8
Over / Under
-370+257 -400+275 -
8.5
Over / Under
-286+205 -303+220 -
9
Over / Under
-238+177 -250+185 -
9.5
Over / Under
-175+133 -189+145 -
10
Over / Under
-156+119 -169+130 -
10.5
Over / Under
-133+101 -139+105 -
11
Over / Under
-104-116 -105-115 -110-110
11.5
Over / Under
+113-147 +115-149 -
12
Over / Under
+131-172 +135-175 -
12.5
Over / Under
+144-192 +150-200 -
13
Over / Under
+184-250 +185-250 -
13.5
Over / Under
+207-286 +210-286 -
14
Over / Under
+247-357 +250-357 -
14.5
Over / Under
+263-385 +270-385 -
15
Over / Under
+342-526 +350-526 -
15.5
Over / Under
+366-588 +375-588 -
16
Over / Under
- +450-769 -
16.5
Over / Under
- +475-833 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.