Books

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox odds

Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1550 · #5
6 – 7
Final
Red Sox -1 push
Over 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, July 18
4:10 PM ET
Fenway Park
Boston
Red Sox
SM rating 1530 · #8
TB 47%BOS 53%
Fair moneyline
+114 / -114
TB / BOS, no vig
Market win %
48% / 52%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BOS +1 pts
SharpModels 53% · market 52% (no vig)
Ratings
1550 / 1530
TB / BOS, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Rays
Moneyline
+100
BetMGM
-101 +100 +100
Red Sox
Moneyline
-119
DraftKings
-119 -120 -120
Rays
Spread
+1-156
DraftKings
+1-156 -1.5+155 +1.5-204
Red Sox
Spread
-1.5+170
bet365
-1+119 +1.5-189 -1.5+170
Over
Total
9.5-115
DraftKings
9.5-115 9.5-115 9.5-115
Under
Total
9.5-105
DraftKings
9.5-105 9.5-105 9.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.4%4.3%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BOS line
-4.5
TB +4.5
+488-909 - -
-4
TB +4
+461-833 - -
-3.5
TB +3.5
+343-526 +350-526 -
-3
TB +3
+316-476 - -
-2.5
TB +2.5
+238-333 +250-357 -
-2
TB +2
+210-294 - -
-1.5
TB +1.5
+159-213 +160-208 +170-204
-1
TB +1
+119-156 - -
+1
TB -1
-161+123 - -
+1.5
TB -1.5
-192+155 -189+155 -
+2
TB -2
-270+196 - -
+2.5
TB -2.5
-312+222 -333+240 -
+3
TB -3
-435+292 - -
+3.5
TB -3.5
-476+318 -500+333 -
+4
TB -4
-714+423 - -
+4.5
TB -4.5
-769+448 - -
+5
TB -5
-1250+598 - -

Top number: BOS at that line; bottom: TB at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -769+450 -
6
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
6.5
Over / Under
-455+304 -500+325 -
7
Over / Under
-385+269 -417+290 -
7.5
Over / Under
-256+188 -278+200 -
8
Over / Under
-227+169 -238+180 -
8.5
Over / Under
-185+139 -189+145 -
9
Over / Under
-152+116 -154+120 -
9.5
Over / Under
-115-105 -115-105 -115-105
10
Over / Under
-102-128 +100-128 -
10.5
Over / Under
+113-147 +118-154 -
11
Over / Under
+141-189 +150-200 -
11.5
Over / Under
+163-217 +175-238 -
12
Over / Under
+196-270 +210-286 -
12.5
Over / Under
+213-294 +220-303 -
13
Over / Under
+279-400 +290-417 -
13.5
Over / Under
+304-455 +320-476 -
14
Over / Under
+368-588 +400-625 -
14.5
Over / Under
+385-625 +400-667 -
15
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.