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Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros odds

Baltimore
Orioles
SM rating 1502 · #14
5 – 2
Final
Astros -1.5 did not cover
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 19
2:10 PM ET
Daikin Park
Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
BAL 45%HOU 55%
Fair moneyline
+124 / -124
BAL / HOU, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +1 pts
SharpModels 55% · market 54% (no vig)
Ratings
1502 / 1506
BAL / HOU, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Orioles
Moneyline
+110
bet365
+106 +110 +110
Astros
Moneyline
-128
DraftKings
-128 -130 -130
Orioles
Spread
+1-149
DraftKings
+1-149 +1.5-208 +1.5-204
Astros
Spread
-1.5+170
bet365
-1+115 -1.5+170 -1.5+170
Over
Total
8.5-105
bet365
8.5-109 8.5-105 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-112
DraftKings
8.5-112 8.5-115 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.5%4.0%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

HOU line
-5
BAL +5
+670-1667 - -
-4.5
BAL +4.5
+504-909 - -
-4
BAL +4
+477-833 - -
-3.5
BAL +3.5
+351-556 +400-625 -
-3
BAL +3
+323-500 - -
-2.5
BAL +2.5
+240-345 +270-385 -
-2
BAL +2
+212-294 - -
-1.5
BAL +1.5
+165-204 +170-208 +170-204
-1
BAL +1
+115-149 - -
+1
BAL -1
-179+136 - -
+1.5
BAL -1.5
-222+165 -227+170 -
+2
BAL -2
-312+222 - -
+2.5
BAL -2.5
-357+251 -385+270 -
+3
BAL -3
-526+338 - -
+3.5
BAL -3.5
-588+366 -625+400 -
+4
BAL -4
-909+509 - -
+4.5
BAL -4.5
-1000+539 - -

Top number: HOU at that line; bottom: BAL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-714+423 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+266 -417+290 -
6
Over / Under
-345+243 -385+270 -
6.5
Over / Under
-256+189 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-213+160 -227+170 -
7.5
Over / Under
-156+119 -154+120 -
8
Over / Under
-133+102 -128+100 -
8.5
Over / Under
-109-112 -105-115 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+112-147 +120-154 -
9.5
Over / Under
+134-179 +145-189 -
10
Over / Under
+160-213 +180-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+176-238 +200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+227-323 +250-357 -
11.5
Over / Under
+251-357 +280-400 -
12
Over / Under
+306-455 +350-526 -
12.5
Over / Under
+324-500 +360-556 -
13
Over / Under
+432-714 +475-833 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
14
Over / Under
- +625-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.