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Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs odds

Minnesota
Twins
SM rating 1468 · #23
1 – 10
Final
Cubs -1.5 covered
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 19
2:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
MIN 39%CHC 61%
Fair moneyline
+154 / -154
MIN / CHC, no vig
Market win %
39% / 61%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIN +1 pts
SharpModels 39% · market 39% (no vig)
Ratings
1468 / 1530
MIN / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Twins
Moneyline
+150
bet365
+149 +145 +150
Cubs
Moneyline
-175
BetMGM
-182 -175 -179
Twins
Spread
+1-105
DraftKings
+1-105 +1.5-154 +1.5-154
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+130
bet365
-1-125 -1.5+125 -1.5+130
Over
Total
7.5-110
BetMGM
7.5-112 7.5-110 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-108
DraftKings
7.5-108 7.5-110 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.5%4.3%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-5.5
MIN +5.5
+650-1429 +600-1250 -
-5
MIN +5
+620-1429 - -
-4.5
MIN +4.5
+442-769 +425-714 -
-4
MIN +4
+411-667 - -
-3.5
MIN +3.5
+296-435 +300-455 -
-3
MIN +3
+266-385 - -
-2.5
MIN +2.5
+195-270 +200-278 -
-2
MIN +2
+166-222 - -
-1.5
MIN +1.5
+129-156 +125-154 +130-154
-1
MIN +1
-125-105 - -
+1
MIN -1
-278+199 - -
+1.5
MIN -1.5
-333+234 -333+240 -
+2
MIN -2
-526+334 - -
+2.5
MIN -2.5
-588+368 - -
+3
MIN -3
-1000+529 - -
+3.5
MIN -3.5
-1111+562 - -
+4
MIN -4
-2000+780 - -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: MIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+2000 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
4
Over / Under
- -1000+525 -
4.5
Over / Under
-588+375 -588+375 -
5
Over / Under
-500+330 -500+333 -
5.5
Over / Under
-294+211 -303+220 -
6
Over / Under
-256+188 -250+190 -
6.5
Over / Under
-196+148 -200+150 -
7
Over / Under
-156+120 -154+118 -
7.5
Over / Under
-112-108 -110-110 -110-110
8
Over / Under
+102-133 +105-139 -
8.5
Over / Under
+118-156 +125-161 -
9
Over / Under
+157-208 +165-222 -
9.5
Over / Under
+186-250 +200-278 -
10
Over / Under
+229-323 +240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+249-357 +270-385 -
11
Over / Under
+344-526 +360-556 -
11.5
Over / Under
+375-588 +375-588 -
12
Over / Under
+475-833 +475-833 -
12.5
Over / Under
+495-909 +475-833 -
13
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.