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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds

New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
6 – 1
Final
Mets -1.5 covered
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 19
1:35 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
NYM 38%PHI 62%
Fair moneyline
+164 / -164
NYM / PHI, no vig
Market win %
53% / 47%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +15 pts
SharpModels 62% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1544
NYM / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 15 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mets
Moneyline
-125
bet365
-127 -125 -125
Phillies
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+105 +105 +105
Mets
Spread
-1.5+130
BetMGM
-1-102 -1.5+130 -1.5+125
Phillies
Spread
+1.5-149
bet365
+1-128 +1.5-154 +1.5-149
Over
Total
8.5-119
DraftKings
8.5-119 8.5-120 8.5-120
Under
Total
8.5+100
bet365
8.5-102 8.5+100 8.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.5%4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-4
NYM +4
+710-1667 - -
-3.5
NYM +3.5
+510-909 +450-769 -
-3
NYM +3
+480-833 - -
-2.5
NYM +2.5
+341-526 +310-455 -
-2
NYM +2
+309-455 - -
-1.5
NYM +1.5
+220-303 +200-278 -
-1
NYM +1
+166-222 - -
+1
NYM -1
-128-102 - -
+1.5
NYM -1.5
-156+128 -154+130 -149+125
+2
NYM -2
-217+163 - -
+2.5
NYM -2.5
-263+190 -250+185 -
+3
NYM -3
-357+252 - -
+3.5
NYM -3.5
-417+279 -385+270 -
+4
NYM -4
-625+380 - -
+4.5
NYM -4.5
-667+409 - -
+5
NYM -5
-1111+563 - -
+5.5
NYM -5.5
-1250+591 - -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: NYM at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1600 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
5
Over / Under
- -909+525 -
5.5
Over / Under
-455+302 -476+320 -
6
Over / Under
-400+278 -417+290 -
6.5
Over / Under
-294+214 -303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-250+182 -250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-172+131 -179+135 -
8
Over / Under
-149+114 -154+118 -
8.5
Over / Under
-119-102 -120+100 -120+100
9
Over / Under
+102-133 +105-139 -
9.5
Over / Under
+125-167 +130-169 -
10
Over / Under
+151-200 +160-208 -
10.5
Over / Under
+168-227 +180-238 -
11
Over / Under
+221-312 +240-333 -
11.5
Over / Under
+248-357 +250-357 -
12
Over / Under
+306-455 +320-476 -
12.5
Over / Under
+326-500 +340-500 -
13
Over / Under
+451-769 +450-769 -
13.5
Over / Under
+480-833 +475-833 -
14
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.