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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
7 – 1
Final
Pirates -1.5 covered
Over 7
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 19
1:40 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
PIT 42%CLE 58%
Fair moneyline
+139 / -139
PIT / CLE, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +7 pts
SharpModels 58% · market 51% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1516
PIT / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
+100
bet365
-108 -105 +100
Guardians
Moneyline
-114
DraftKings
-114 -115 -120
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+165
bet365
-1+120 -1.5+155 -1.5+165
Guardians
Spread
+1.5-189
BetMGM
+1-159 +1.5-189 +1.5-200
Over
Total
7+105
bet365
7+100 6.5-128 7+105
Under
Total
6.5+100
BetMGM
7-122 6.5+100 7-125
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.9%4.5%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+710-1667 - -
-4
PIT +4
+680-1667 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+497-909 +475-833 -
-3
PIT +3
+464-833 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+324-500 +320-476 -
-2
PIT +2
+291-435 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+205-286 +185-250 -
-1
PIT +1
+146-192 - -
+1
PIT -1
-159+120 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-189+155 -189+155 -200+165
+2
PIT -2
-278+203 - -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-333+234 -333+240 -
+3
PIT -3
-500+328 - -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-556+360 -526+350 -
+4
PIT -4
-909+507 - -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-1000+538 - -
+5
PIT -5
-2000+750 - -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
3
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
3.5
Over / Under
-667+401 -714+425 -
4
Over / Under
-588+371 -588+375 -
4.5
Over / Under
-400+270 -400+275 -
5
Over / Under
-323+227 -333+240 -
5.5
Over / Under
-196+148 -200+150 -
6
Over / Under
-169+128 -169+130 -
6.5
Over / Under
-135+104 -128+100 -
7
Over / Under
+100-122 +105-128 +105-125
7.5
Over / Under
+123-161 +130-169 -
8
Over / Under
+147-196 +165-222 -
8.5
Over / Under
+164-222 +185-250 -
9
Over / Under
+222-312 +250-357 -
9.5
Over / Under
+251-357 +275-400 -
10
Over / Under
+314-476 +350-526 -
10.5
Over / Under
+334-526 +360-556 -
11
Over / Under
+461-833 +500-909 -
11.5
Over / Under
+490-909 +525-1000 -
12
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.