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San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
19 – 2
Final
Padres -1 covered
Over 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 19
2:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
SD 53%KC 47%
Fair moneyline
-114 / +114
SD / KC, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +4 pts
SharpModels 53% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1462
SD / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
-105
DraftKings
-105 -105 -105
Royals
Moneyline
-115
bet365
-116 -115 -115
Padres
Spread
-1+121
DraftKings
-1+121 -1.5+154 +1.5-200
Royals
Spread
+1.5-189
BetMGM
+1-159 +1.5-189 -1.5+165
Over
Total
9.5-115
bet365
9.5-116 9.5-115 9.5-115
Under
Total
9.5-105
DraftKings
9.5-105 9.5-105 9.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.5% 4.7%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-4.5
SD +4.5
+498-909 - -
-4
SD +4
+471-833 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+349-556 +300-455 -
-3
SD +3
+322-500 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+240-345 +220-303 -
-2
SD +2
+212-294 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+159-213 +150-200 +165-200
-1
SD +1
+121-159 - -
+1
SD -1
-159+121 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-185+152 -189+154 -
+2
SD -2
-270+195 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-312+222 -303+220 -
+3
SD -3
-435+297 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-500+324 -476+320 -
+4
SD -4
-714+433 - -
+4.5
SD -4.5
-833+459 - -
+5
SD -5
-1250+610 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -769+450 -
6
Over / Under
-625+389 -714+425 -
6.5
Over / Under
-455+302 -476+320 -
7
Over / Under
-385+269 -417+290 -
7.5
Over / Under
-263+191 -278+200 -
8
Over / Under
-233+172 -238+180 -
8.5
Over / Under
-189+141 -189+145 -
9
Over / Under
-154+117 -154+118 -
9.5
Over / Under
-116-105 -115-105 -115-105
10
Over / Under
-102-128 +100-128 -
10.5
Over / Under
+112-147 +115-149 -
11
Over / Under
+141-185 +150-200 -
11.5
Over / Under
+162-217 +175-238 -
12
Over / Under
+194-263 +210-294 -
12.5
Over / Under
+211-294 +240-333 -
13
Over / Under
+273-400 +300-455 -
13.5
Over / Under
+297-435 +325-476 -
14
Over / Under
+366-588 +400-625 -
14.5
Over / Under
+384-625 +425-714 -
15
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.