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Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs odds

Detroit
Tigers
SM rating 1486 · #20
2 – 11
Final
Cubs -1.5 covered
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, July 21
8:05 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
DET 41%CHC 59%
Fair moneyline
+143 / -143
DET / CHC, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +6 pts
SharpModels 59% · market 53% (no vig)
Ratings
1486 / 1530
DET / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Tigers
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
+102 +105 +100
Cubs
Moneyline
-120
bet365
-123 -125 -120
Tigers
Spread
+1.5-200
BetMGM
+1-156 +1.5-200 +1.5-204
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+170
bet365
-1+118 -1.5+165 -1.5+170
Over
Total
7.5-110
BetMGM
7.5-110 7.5-110 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-110
BetMGM
7.5-111 7.5-110 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.5%4.2%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-5
DET +5
+820-2500 - -
-4.5
DET +4.5
+593-1250 - -
-4
DET +4
+564-1111 - -
-3.5
DET +3.5
+403-667 +375-588 -
-3
DET +3
+369-588 - -
-2.5
DET +2.5
+259-370 +250-357 -
-2
DET +2
+225-312 - -
-1.5
DET +1.5
+168-208 +165-200 +170-204
-1
DET +1
+118-156 - -
+1
DET -1
-179+135 - -
+1.5
DET -1.5
-227+168 -222+165 -
+2
DET -2
-333+234 - -
+2.5
DET -2.5
-385+267 -385+270 -
+3
DET -3
-625+381 - -
+3.5
DET -3.5
-714+415 -667+400 -
+4
DET -4
-1250+593 - -
+4.5
DET -4.5
-1429+620 - -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: DET at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1900 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
4
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
4.5
Over / Under
-625+386 -625+400 -
5
Over / Under
-526+340 -526+350 -
5.5
Over / Under
-294+214 -303+220 -
6
Over / Under
-256+190 -278+200 -
6.5
Over / Under
-196+147 -200+150 -
7
Over / Under
-154+117 -154+120 -
7.5
Over / Under
-110-111 -110-110 -110-110
8
Over / Under
+105-139 +105-139 -
8.5
Over / Under
+122-161 +125-161 -
9
Over / Under
+162-217 +165-222 -
9.5
Over / Under
+190-256 +200-278 -
10
Over / Under
+233-333 +240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+253-357 +270-385 -
11
Over / Under
+347-556 +350-526 -
11.5
Over / Under
+377-588 +375-588 -
12
Over / Under
+476-833 +475-833 -
12.5
Over / Under
+496-909 +500-909 -
13
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.