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San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
7 – 2
Final
Marlins -1.5 did not cover
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, July 25
4:10 PM ET
loanDepot park
Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
SD 49%MIA 51%
Fair moneyline
+103 / -103
SD / MIA, no vig
Market win %
43% / 57%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +6 pts
SharpModels 49% · market 43% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1491
SD / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
+125
bet365
+123 +120 +125
Marlins
Moneyline
-143
BetMGM
-149 -143 -149
Padres
Spread
+1-127
DraftKings
+1-127 +1.5-175 +1.5-169
Marlins
Spread
-1.5+145
bet365
-1-103 -1.5+145 -1.5+145
Over
Total
8-110
bet365
8-111 8-110 8-110
Under
Total
8-110
bet365
8-111 8-110 8-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.5%4.1%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-5
SD +5
+585-1250 - -
-4.5
SD +4.5
+428-714 - -
-4
SD +4
+402-667 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+303-455 +325-500 -
-3
SD +3
+276-400 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+207-286 +220-303 -
-2
SD +2
+182-250 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+145-179 +145-175 +145-169
-1
SD +1
-103-127 - -
+1
SD -1
-217+162 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-263+194 -250+185 -
+2
SD -2
-385+266 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-435+297 -455+300 -
+3
SD -3
-667+401 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-714+429 -769+450 -
+4
SD -4
-1111+580 - -
+4.5
SD -4.5
-1250+600 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1250 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
4.5
Over / Under
-667+402 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-556+356 -667+400 -
5.5
Over / Under
-312+224 -357+250 -
6
Over / Under
-278+202 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-217+160 -238+180 -
7
Over / Under
-175+133 -200+150 -
7.5
Over / Under
-133+101 -139+105 -
8
Over / Under
-111-111 -110-110 -110-110
8.5
Over / Under
+101-133 +105-139 -
9
Over / Under
+130-172 +140-182 -
9.5
Over / Under
+154-204 +170-227 -
10
Over / Under
+185-250 +210-286 -
10.5
Over / Under
+202-278 +220-303 -
11
Over / Under
+266-385 +300-455 -
11.5
Over / Under
+292-435 +325-476 -
12
Over / Under
+358-556 +400-667 -
12.5
Over / Under
+377-588 +425-714 -
13
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +600-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.