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Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays odds

Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
0 – 1
Final
Rays -1.5 did not cover
Under 7
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, July 26
12:15 PM ET
Tropicana Field
Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1550 · #5
CLE 45%TB 55%
Fair moneyline
+121 / -121
CLE / TB, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +2 pts
SharpModels 55% · market 53% (no vig)
Ratings
1516 / 1550
CLE / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Guardians
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+103 -102 +105
Rays
Moneyline
-118
BetMGM
-125 -118 -125
Guardians
Spread
+1-156
DraftKings
+1-156 +1.5-208 +1.5-208
Rays
Spread
-1.5+175
bet365
-1+118 -1.5+170 -1.5+175
Over
Total
7+105
bet365
7+103 7+105 7+105
Under
Total
7-125
DraftKings
7-125 7-125 7-125
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 4.6%4.4%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-5
CLE +5
+730-1667 - -
-4.5
CLE +4.5
+546-1000 - -
-4
CLE +4
+519-1000 - -
-3.5
CLE +3.5
+381-625 +375-588 -
-3
CLE +3
+352-556 - -
-2.5
CLE +2.5
+258-370 +250-357 -
-2
CLE +2
+226-312 - -
-1.5
CLE +1.5
+170-208 +170-208 +175-208
-1
CLE +1
+118-156 - -
+1
CLE -1
-185+139 - -
+1.5
CLE -1.5
-233+174 -227+170 -
+2
CLE -2
-357+247 - -
+2.5
CLE -2.5
-417+281 -400+280 -
+3
CLE -3
-667+406 - -
+3.5
CLE -3.5
-769+440 -714+425 -
+4
CLE -4
-1250+620 - -
+4.5
CLE -4.5
-1429+650 - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: CLE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1250 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
3
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
4
Over / Under
- -588+375 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -400+280 -
5
Over / Under
- -333+240 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -200+154 -
6
Over / Under
- -169+130 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -139+105 -
7
Over / Under
+103-125 +105-125 +105-125
7.5
Over / Under
- +130-169 -
8
Over / Under
- +165-222 -
8.5
Over / Under
- +185-250 -
9
Over / Under
- +250-357 -
9.5
Over / Under
- +280-400 -
10
Over / Under
- +360-556 -
10.5
Over / Under
- +375-588 -
11
Over / Under
- +525-909 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
12
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.