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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
2 – 3
Final
Pirates -1.5 did not cover
Under 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, July 30
7:10 PM ET
Great American Ball Park
Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
PIT 46%CIN 54%
Fair moneyline
+118 / -118
PIT / CIN, no vig
Market win %
52% / 48%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +7 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 48% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1485
PIT / CIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
-120
bet365
-123 -120 -120
Reds
Moneyline
+102
DraftKings
+102 +100 +100
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+125
bet365
-1-102 -1.5+125 -1.5+125
Reds
Spread
+1.5-149
bet365
+1-128 +1.5-154 +1.5-149
Over
Total
9.5-110
bet365
9.5-115 9.5-110 9.5-110
Under
Total
9.5-105
DraftKings
9.5-105 9.5-110 9.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.5%4.3%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CIN line
-4
PIT +4
+559-1111 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+414-714 +400-667 -
-3
PIT +3
+385-625 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+281-417 +290-417 -
-2
PIT +2
+252-357 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+187-256 +185-250 -
-1
PIT +1
+146-192 - -
+1
PIT -1
-128-102 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-149+124 -154+125 -149+125
+2
PIT -2
-204+153 - -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-238+178 -238+180 -
+3
PIT -3
-333+234 - -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-370+260 -357+250 -
+4
PIT -4
-526+345 - -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-588+371 - -
+5
PIT -5
-909+489 - -
+5.5
PIT -5.5
-1000+513 - -

Top number: CIN at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
6
Over / Under
- -667+400 -
6.5
Over / Under
-476+311 -455+310 -
7
Over / Under
-400+275 -400+275 -
7.5
Over / Under
-263+192 -278+200 -
8
Over / Under
-233+173 -238+175 -
8.5
Over / Under
-185+140 -182+140 -
9
Over / Under
-154+116 -149+115 -
9.5
Over / Under
-115-105 -110-110 -110-110
10
Over / Under
-102-128 +105-139 -
10.5
Over / Under
+111-147 +118-154 -
11
Over / Under
+140-185 +154-200 -
11.5
Over / Under
+162-217 +180-238 -
12
Over / Under
+196-270 +220-303 -
12.5
Over / Under
+214-294 +240-333 -
13
Over / Under
+274-400 +300-455 -
13.5
Over / Under
+297-435 +325-500 -
14
Over / Under
+368-588 +400-667 -
14.5
Over / Under
+387-625 +425-714 -
15
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.