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Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves odds

Washington
Nationals
SM rating 1462 · #25
4 – 5
Final
Braves -1.5 did not cover
Under 10
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, July 30
7:00 PM ET
Truist Park
Atlanta
Braves
SM rating 1536 · #7
WSH 39%ATL 61%
Fair moneyline
+157 / -157
WSH / ATL, no vig
Market win %
41% / 59%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
ATL +2 pts
SharpModels 61% · market 59% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1536
WSH / ATL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Nationals
Moneyline
+140
BetMGM
+134 +140 +135
Braves
Moneyline
-159
bet365
-164 -169 -159
Nationals
Spread
+1-108
DraftKings
+1-108 +1.5-149 +1.5-149
Braves
Spread
-1.5+125
bet365
-1-122 -1.5+125 -1.5+125
Over
Total
10-105
bet365
10-114 10-110 10-105
Under
Total
10-108
DraftKings
10-108 10-110 10-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.0% 4.6%4.3%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ATL line
-5.5
WSH +5.5
+493-909 +500-909 -
-5
WSH +5
+469-833 - -
-4.5
WSH +4.5
+356-556 +375-588 -
-4
WSH +4
+332-500 - -
-3.5
WSH +3.5
+256-370 +270-385 -
-3
WSH +3
+230-323 - -
-2.5
WSH +2.5
+176-238 +180-238 -
-2
WSH +2
+150-200 - -
-1.5
WSH +1.5
+120-147 +125-149 +125-149
-1
WSH +1
-122-108 - -
+1
WSH -1
-233+173 - -
+1.5
WSH -1.5
-278+202 -278+200 -
+2
WSH -2
-400+271 - -
+2.5
WSH -2.5
-455+299 - -
+3
WSH -3
-714+414 - -
+3.5
WSH -3.5
-769+444 - -
+4
WSH -4
-1250+620 - -

Top number: ATL at that line; bottom: WSH at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4.5
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
6
Over / Under
- -833+475 -
6.5
Over / Under
-556+357 -526+350 -
7
Over / Under
-476+320 -476+320 -
7.5
Over / Under
-303+220 -303+220 -
8
Over / Under
-278+200 -278+200 -
8.5
Over / Under
-217+161 -222+165 -
9
Over / Under
-179+136 -182+140 -
9.5
Over / Under
-137+105 -139+105 -
10
Over / Under
-114-108 -110-110 -105-115
10.5
Over / Under
-101-130 +105-139 -
11
Over / Under
+124-164 +135-175 -
11.5
Over / Under
+146-192 +160-208 -
12
Over / Under
+175-238 +185-250 -
12.5
Over / Under
+192-263 +200-278 -
13
Over / Under
+253-357 +270-385 -
13.5
Over / Under
+279-400 +290-417 -
14
Over / Under
+338-526 +360-556 -
14.5
Over / Under
+355-556 +375-588 -
15
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
15.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.