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Miami Marlins at New York Mets odds

Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
2 – 0
Final
Marlins -1.5 covered
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, August 2
1:40 PM ET
Citi Field
New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
MIA 47%NYM 53%
Fair moneyline
+111 / -111
MIA / NYM, no vig
Market win %
52% / 48%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NYM +5 pts
SharpModels 53% · market 48% (no vig)
Ratings
1491 / 1493
MIA / NYM, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Marlins
Moneyline
-120
BetMGM
-123 -120 -120
Mets
Moneyline
+101
DraftKings
+101 +100 +100
Marlins
Spread
-1.5+140
bet365
-1+103 -1.5+135 -1.5+140
Mets
Spread
+1.5-164
bet365
+1-135 +1.5-167 +1.5-164
Over
Total
8.5-115
BetMGM
8.5-115 8.5-115 8.5-115
Under
Total
8.5-105
BetMGM
8.5-105 8.5-105 8.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.7%4.3%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NYM line
-4
MIA +4
+630-1429 - -
-3.5
MIA +3.5
+463-833 +425-714 -
-3
MIA +3
+432-714 - -
-2.5
MIA +2.5
+307-455 +290-417 -
-2
MIA +2
+274-400 - -
-1.5
MIA +1.5
+195-270 +185-250 -
-1
MIA +1
+149-200 - -
+1
MIA -1
-135+103 - -
+1.5
MIA -1.5
-169+138 -167+135 -164+140
+2
MIA -2
-227+169 - -
+2.5
MIA -2.5
-270+195 -278+200 -
+3
MIA -3
-370+258 - -
+3.5
MIA -3.5
-417+285 -400+280 -
+4
MIA -4
-625+391 - -
+4.5
MIA -4.5
-714+420 - -
+5
MIA -5
-1111+573 - -
+5.5
MIA -5.5
-1250+600 - -

Top number: NYM at that line; bottom: MIA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1500 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1000+525 -
5
Over / Under
- -833+475 -
5.5
Over / Under
-435+290 -455+310 -
6
Over / Under
-385+265 -400+280 -
6.5
Over / Under
-286+204 -303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-233+173 -250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-167+127 -169+130 -
8
Over / Under
-145+110 -143+110 -
8.5
Over / Under
-115-105 -115-105 -115-105
9
Over / Under
+106-139 +110-143 -
9.5
Over / Under
+129-169 +135-179 -
10
Over / Under
+153-204 +165-222 -
10.5
Over / Under
+169-227 +185-250 -
11
Over / Under
+220-312 +240-333 -
11.5
Over / Under
+246-357 +270-385 -
12
Over / Under
+301-455 +325-476 -
12.5
Over / Under
+320-476 +340-526 -
13
Over / Under
+424-714 +450-769 -
13.5
Over / Under
+449-769 +475-833 -
14
Over / Under
- +600-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.