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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
4 – 3
Final
Brewers -1.5 did not cover
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, August 3
7:40 PM ET
American Family Field
Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
PIT 36%MIL 64%
Fair moneyline
+179 / -179
PIT / MIL, no vig
Market win %
42% / 58%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIL +6 pts
SharpModels 64% · market 58% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1604
PIT / MIL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
+129
DraftKings
+129 +125 +125
Brewers
Moneyline
-149
BetMGM
-156 -149 -149
Pirates
Spread
+1-118
DraftKings
+1-118 +1.5-161 +1.5-164
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+140
bet365
-1-111 -1.5+135 -1.5+140
Over
Total
8.5+100
BetMGM
8.5-103 8.5+100 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-115
bet365
8.5-118 8.5-120 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.4% 4.4%4.1%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIL line
-5.5
PIT +5.5
+599-1250 - -
-5
PIT +5
+574-1111 - -
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+428-714 - -
-4
PIT +4
+401-667 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+297-435 +280-400 -
-3
PIT +3
+269-385 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+200-278 +200-278 -
-2
PIT +2
+172-233 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+135-164 +135-161 +140-164
-1
PIT +1
-111-118 - -
+1
PIT -1
-222+166 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-270+195 -278+200 -
+2
PIT -2
-400+271 - -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-455+303 -455+300 -
+3
PIT -3
-714+417 - -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-769+447 -714+425 -
+4
PIT -4
-1250+620 - -

Top number: MIL at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-769+453 -833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-667+407 -714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-370+254 -400+275 -
6
Over / Under
-323+229 -357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-238+177 -250+190 -
7
Over / Under
-200+149 -208+160 -
7.5
Over / Under
-147+113 -149+115 -
8
Over / Under
-127-103 -125-102 -
8.5
Over / Under
-103-118 +100-120 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+118-156 +125-167 -
9.5
Over / Under
+141-185 +150-200 -
10
Over / Under
+170-227 +185-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+188-256 +210-286 -
11
Over / Under
+243-345 +270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+268-385 +290-417 -
12
Over / Under
+331-500 +360-556 -
12.5
Over / Under
+351-556 +375-588 -
13
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.