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New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians odds

New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
6 – 2
Final
Guardians -1.5 did not cover
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, August 4
6:40 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
NYM 42%CLE 58%
Fair moneyline
+138 / -138
NYM / CLE, no vig
Market win %
45% / 55%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +3 pts
SharpModels 58% · market 55% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1516
NYM / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mets
Moneyline
+120
DraftKings
+120 +110 +115
Guardians
Moneyline
-128
DraftKings
-128 -133 -135
Mets
Spread
+1-141
DraftKings
+1-141 +1.5-189 +1.5-185
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+155
BetMGM
-1+108 -1.5+155 -1.5+155
Over
Total
7.5+100
BetMGM
7.5+100 7.5+100 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-120
BetMGM
7.5-120 7.5-120 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
1.6% 1.6%4.5%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-5
NYM +5
+730-2000 - -
-4.5
NYM +4.5
+528-1000 - -
-4
NYM +4
+499-909 - -
-3.5
NYM +3.5
+359-556 +350-526 -
-3
NYM +3
+329-500 - -
-2.5
NYM +2.5
+238-333 +240-333 -
-2
NYM +2
+207-286 - -
-1.5
NYM +1.5
+158-196 +155-189 +155-185
-1
NYM +1
+108-141 - -
+1
NYM -1
-204+152 - -
+1.5
NYM -1.5
-256+186 -238+180 -
+2
NYM -2
-370+259 - -
+2.5
NYM -2.5
-435+291 -417+290 -
+3
NYM -3
-714+416 - -
+3.5
NYM -3.5
-769+449 -714+425 -
+4
NYM -4
-1429+620 - -
+4.5
NYM -4.5
-1429+650 - -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: NYM at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1800 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
4
Over / Under
-833+481 -909+500 -
4.5
Over / Under
-526+340 -556+360 -
5
Over / Under
-435+296 -476+320 -
5.5
Over / Under
-263+192 -286+210 -
6
Over / Under
-227+169 -250+185 -
6.5
Over / Under
-179+135 -182+140 -
7
Over / Under
-139+106 -143+110 -
7.5
Over / Under
+100-120 +100-120 +100-120
8
Over / Under
+115-152 +115-149 -
8.5
Over / Under
+133-175 +135-175 -
9
Over / Under
+175-238 +180-238 -
9.5
Over / Under
+202-278 +210-286 -
10
Over / Under
+248-357 +270-385 -
10.5
Over / Under
+267-385 +280-400 -
11
Over / Under
+359-556 +375-588 -
11.5
Over / Under
+387-625 +400-625 -
12
Over / Under
+480-833 +500-909 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +525-909 -
13
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.