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San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
9 – 4
Final
Diamondbacks -1.5 did not cover
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, August 4
9:40 PM ET
Chase Field
Arizona
Diamondbacks
SM rating 1520 · #10
SD 48%ARI 52%
Fair moneyline
+110 / -110
SD / ARI, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +1 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1520
SD / ARI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
+111
DraftKings
+111 +105 +105
Diamondbacks
Moneyline
-119
DraftKings
-119 -125 -125
Padres
Spread
+1.5-185
bet365
+1-145 +1.5-189 +1.5-185
Diamondbacks
Spread
-1.5+155
BetMGM
-1+110 -1.5+155 -1.5+155
Over
Total
9+100
bet365
9-102 9-102 9+100
Under
Total
9-118
BetMGM
9-119 9-118 9-120
Margin
Moneyline
1.7% 1.7%4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ARI line
-5
SD +5
+640-1429 - -
-4.5
SD +4.5
+481-833 - -
-4
SD +4
+452-769 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+330-500 +325-500 -
-3
SD +3
+303-455 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+226-323 +225-303 -
-2
SD +2
+198-270 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+154-189 +155-189 +155-185
-1
SD +1
+110-145 - -
+1
SD -1
-175+133 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-217+160 -208+160 -
+2
SD -2
-303+217 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-357+246 -333+240 -
+3
SD -3
-500+331 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-556+359 -526+350 -
+4
SD -4
-833+481 - -
+4.5
SD -4.5
-909+506 - -

Top number: ARI at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+825 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+825 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1111+600 -
5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
5.5
Over / Under
-476+311 -500+333 -
6
Over / Under
-417+287 -455+310 -
6.5
Over / Under
-312+222 -333+240 -
7
Over / Under
-263+190 -286+210 -
7.5
Over / Under
-185+139 -200+150 -
8
Over / Under
-161+122 -169+130 -
8.5
Over / Under
-133+102 -139+105 -
9
Over / Under
-102-119 -102-118 +100-120
9.5
Over / Under
+116-152 +118-154 -
10
Over / Under
+138-182 +145-189 -
10.5
Over / Under
+154-204 +165-222 -
11
Over / Under
+198-270 +210-294 -
11.5
Over / Under
+221-312 +240-333 -
12
Over / Under
+271-400 +290-417 -
12.5
Over / Under
+289-435 +310-455 -
13
Over / Under
+384-625 +425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+410-667 +425-714 -
14
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.