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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies odds

Washington
Nationals
SM rating 1462 · #25
3 – 7
Final
Phillies -2.5 covered
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, August 6
6:05 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
WSH 36%PHI 64%
Fair moneyline
+175 / -175
WSH / PHI, no vig
Market win %
25% / 75%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
WSH +11 pts
SharpModels 36% · market 25% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1544
WSH / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 11 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Nationals
Moneyline
+298
DraftKings
+298 +280 +275
Phillies
Moneyline
-333
DraftKings
-333 -357 -345
Nationals
Spread
+1.5+130
bet365
+2.5-123 +2.5-115 +1.5+130
Phillies
Spread
-2.5-105
DraftKings
-2.5-105 -2.5-105 -1.5-154
Over
Total
9+100
bet365
9-106 9-102 9+100
Under
Total
9-114
DraftKings
9-114 9-118 9-120
Margin
Moneyline
2.0% 2.0%4.2%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-7.5
WSH +7.5
+575-1111 - -
-7
WSH +7
+549-1111 - -
-6.5
WSH +6.5
+409-667 +425-714 -
-6
WSH +6
+384-625 - -
-5.5
WSH +5.5
+290-435 +300-455 -
-5
WSH +5
+264-385 - -
-4.5
WSH +4.5
+200-278 +210-286 -
-4
WSH +4
+178-244 - -
-3.5
WSH +3.5
+142-189 +140-182 -
-3
WSH +3
+120-156 - -
-2.5
WSH +2.5
-105-123 -105-115 -
-2
WSH +2
-133+102 - -
-1.5
WSH +1.5
-159+130 -169+130 -154+130
-1
WSH +1
-286+207 - -
+1
WSH -1
-588+372 - -
+1.5
WSH -1.5
-667+406 -667+400 -
+2
WSH -2
-1250+592 - -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: WSH at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+825 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5
Over / Under
- -1000+525 -
5.5
Over / Under
-526+336 -526+340 -
6
Over / Under
-476+310 -476+320 -
6.5
Over / Under
-333+233 -333+240 -
7
Over / Under
-278+201 -286+210 -
7.5
Over / Under
-192+144 -200+150 -
8
Over / Under
-167+126 -169+130 -
8.5
Over / Under
-135+104 -139+105 -
9
Over / Under
-106-114 -102-118 +100-120
9.5
Over / Under
+110-145 +118-154 -
10
Over / Under
+131-172 +145-189 -
10.5
Over / Under
+147-196 +165-222 -
11
Over / Under
+192-263 +210-294 -
11.5
Over / Under
+218-303 +240-333 -
12
Over / Under
+264-385 +290-417 -
12.5
Over / Under
+282-417 +310-455 -
13
Over / Under
+372-588 +400-667 -
13.5
Over / Under
+397-667 +425-714 -
14
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.