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Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals odds

Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
6 – 4
Final
Cubs -1.5 covered
Over 9
vs the most common closing line
Friday, August 7
8:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
CHC 56%KC 44%
Fair moneyline
-127 / +127
CHC / KC, no vig
Market win %
61% / 39%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +5 pts
SharpModels 44% · market 39% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1462
CHC / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Cubs
Moneyline
-164
bet365
-167 -175 -164
Royals
Moneyline
+153
DraftKings
+153 +145 +150
Cubs
Spread
-1.5-105
bet365
-1.5-108 -1.5-105 -1.5-105
Royals
Spread
+1.5-112
DraftKings
+1.5-112 +1.5-115 +1.5-115
Over
Total
9-115
bet365
9-118 9-115 9-115
Under
Total
9-103
DraftKings
9-103 9-105 9-105
Margin
Moneyline
1.6% 2.0%4.3%2.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-3
CHC +3
+583-1250 - -
-2.5
CHC +2.5
+416-714 +400-625 -
-2
CHC +2
+384-625 - -
-1.5
CHC +1.5
+272-400 +270-385 -
-1
CHC +1
+222-312 - -
+1
CHC -1
+112-147 - -
+1.5
CHC -1.5
-112-108 -115-105 -115-105
+2
CHC -2
-147+113 - -
+2.5
CHC -2.5
-179+135 -189+145 -
+3
CHC -3
-233+172 - -
+3.5
CHC -3.5
-270+196 -333+240 -
+4
CHC -4
-357+251 - -
+4.5
CHC -4.5
-400+274 -500+325 -
+5
CHC -5
-588+365 - -
+5.5
CHC -5.5
-625+392 - -
+6
CHC -6
-1000+518 - -
+6.5
CHC -6.5
-1000+543 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: CHC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+900 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -556+360 -
6
Over / Under
- -500+333 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -357+250 -
7
Over / Under
- -303+220 -
7.5
Over / Under
- -222+165 -
8
Over / Under
- -189+145 -
8.5
Over / Under
- -149+115 -
9
Over / Under
-118-103 -115-105 -115-105
9.5
Over / Under
- +110-143 -
10
Over / Under
- +130-169 -
10.5
Over / Under
- +150-200 -
11
Over / Under
- +185-250 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +210-294 -
12
Over / Under
- +270-385 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +280-400 -
13
Over / Under
- +360-556 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +400-625 -
14
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.