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Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals odds

Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
3 – 6
Final
Cubs -1.5 did not cover
Push on 9
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, August 8
7:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
CHC 56%KC 44%
Fair moneyline
-127 / +127
CHC / KC, no vig
Market win %
59% / 41%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +3 pts
SharpModels 44% · market 41% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1462
CHC / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Cubs
Moneyline
-149
DraftKings
-149 -167 -154
Royals
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+138 +135 +140
Cubs
Spread
-1.5-102
DraftKings
-1.5-102 -1.5-102 -1.5-105
Royals
Spread
+1.5-115
bet365
+1.5-119 +1.5-118 +1.5-115
Over
Total
9-115
BetMGM
9-116 9-115 9-120
Under
Total
9+100
bet365
9-105 9-105 9+100
Margin
Moneyline
1.5% 1.8%4.9%2.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-3.5
CHC +3.5
+589-1250 - -
-3
CHC +3
+557-1111 - -
-2.5
CHC +2.5
+390-625 +350-526 -
-2
CHC +2
+357-556 - -
-1.5
CHC +1.5
+254-370 +240-333 -
-1
CHC +1
+203-278 - -
+1
CHC -1
+103-133 - -
+1.5
CHC -1.5
-119-102 -118-102 -115-105
+2
CHC -2
-159+120 - -
+2.5
CHC -2.5
-192+144 -200+154 -
+3
CHC -3
-256+188 - -
+3.5
CHC -3.5
-294+213 -333+240 -
+4
CHC -4
-417+279 - -
+4.5
CHC -4.5
-455+305 -500+333 -
+5
CHC -5
-667+405 - -
+5.5
CHC -5.5
-714+430 - -
+6
CHC -6
-1250+581 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: CHC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+900 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5.5
Over / Under
-556+354 -556+360 -
6
Over / Under
-500+329 -500+340 -
6.5
Over / Under
-357+252 -385+270 -
7
Over / Under
-303+218 -303+225 -
7.5
Over / Under
-208+155 -222+165 -
8
Over / Under
-182+137 -189+145 -
8.5
Over / Under
-147+113 -154+118 -
9
Over / Under
-116-105 -115-105 -120+100
9.5
Over / Under
+104-135 +110-143 -
10
Over / Under
+123-161 +130-169 -
10.5
Over / Under
+139-185 +150-200 -
11
Over / Under
+178-244 +185-250 -
11.5
Over / Under
+202-278 +210-294 -
12
Over / Under
+248-357 +270-385 -
12.5
Over / Under
+267-385 +280-400 -
13
Over / Under
+351-556 +360-556 -
13.5
Over / Under
+377-588 +400-625 -
14
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.