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Houston Astros at San Diego Padres odds

Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
2 – 7
Final
Padres -1 covered
Push on 9
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, August 9
8:20 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
HOU 46%SD 54%
Fair moneyline
+120 / -120
HOU / SD, no vig
Market win %
48% / 52%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +3 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 52% (no vig)
Ratings
1506 / 1552
HOU / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Astros
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+103 -102 +105
Padres
Moneyline
-111
DraftKings
-111 -118 -115
Astros
Spread
+1.5-189
bet365
+1-156 -1.5+155 +1.5-189
Padres
Spread
-1.5+160
bet365
-1+118 +1.5-189 -1.5+160
Over
Total
9-110
bet365
9-114 9-110 9-110
Under
Total
9-108
DraftKings
9-108 9-110 9-110
Margin
Moneyline
1.4% 1.8%4.4%2.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-4.5
HOU +4.5
+501-909 - -
-4
HOU +4
+474-833 - -
-3.5
HOU +3.5
+350-556 +333-500 -
-3
HOU +3
+321-476 - -
-2.5
HOU +2.5
+236-333 +240-333 -
-2
HOU +2
+208-286 - -
-1.5
HOU +1.5
+156-208 +160-208 +160-189
-1
HOU +1
+118-156 - -
+1
HOU -1
-164+124 - -
+1.5
HOU -1.5
-192+157 -189+155 -
+2
HOU -2
-278+201 - -
+2.5
HOU -2.5
-323+228 -333+240 -
+3
HOU -3
-476+312 - -
+3.5
HOU -3.5
-526+341 -500+325 -
+4
HOU -4
-833+462 - -
+4.5
HOU -4.5
-909+489 - -
+5
HOU -5
-1429+660 - -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: HOU at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4
Over / Under
- -2500+875 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
5
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
5.5
Over / Under
-556+353 -556+360 -
6
Over / Under
-500+326 -500+340 -
6.5
Over / Under
-357+246 -357+250 -
7
Over / Under
-294+213 -303+220 -
7.5
Over / Under
-204+152 -222+165 -
8
Over / Under
-179+135 -189+145 -
8.5
Over / Under
-147+111 -149+115 -
9
Over / Under
-114-108 -110-110 -110-110
9.5
Over / Under
+106-139 +110-143 -
10
Over / Under
+125-164 +135-175 -
10.5
Over / Under
+140-185 +154-200 -
11
Over / Under
+179-244 +200-278 -
11.5
Over / Under
+203-278 +220-303 -
12
Over / Under
+250-357 +270-385 -
12.5
Over / Under
+269-385 +290-417 -
13
Over / Under
+358-556 +375-588 -
13.5
Over / Under
+385-625 +400-625 -
14
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.