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New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
11 – 1
Final
Pirates -1.5 did not cover
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, August 9
1:35 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
NYM 47%PIT 53%
Fair moneyline
+112 / -112
NYM / PIT, no vig
Market win %
43% / 57%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NYM +5 pts
SharpModels 47% · market 43% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1493
NYM / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mets
Moneyline
+130
DraftKings
+130 +125 +129
Pirates
Moneyline
-139
bet365
-141 -149 -139
Mets
Spread
+1-127
DraftKings
+1-127 +1.5-179 +1.5-179
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+150
bet365
-1-103 -1.5+145 -1.5+150
Over
Total
8-116
DraftKings
8-116 8-120 8-120
Under
Total
8+100
BetMGM
8-105 8+100 8+100
Margin
Moneyline
1.6% 1.9%4.1%1.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-5
NYM +5
+670-1667 - -
-4.5
NYM +4.5
+481-833 - -
-4
NYM +4
+451-769 - -
-3.5
NYM +3.5
+324-500 +340-500 -
-3
NYM +3
+294-435 - -
-2.5
NYM +2.5
+214-294 +225-303 -
-2
NYM +2
+186-250 - -
-1.5
NYM +1.5
+144-175 +145-179 +150-179
-1
NYM +1
-103-127 - -
+1
NYM -1
-217+163 - -
+1.5
NYM -1.5
-270+196 -250+185 -
+2
NYM -2
-400+273 - -
+2.5
NYM -2.5
-455+305 -417+290 -
+3
NYM -3
-714+430 - -
+3.5
NYM -3.5
-833+462 -714+425 -
+4
NYM -4
-1429+640 - -
+4.5
NYM -4.5
-1667+670 - -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: NYM at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+466 -833+475 -
5
Over / Under
-714+418 -714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-370+257 -400+275 -
6
Over / Under
-323+232 -357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-244+179 -250+190 -
7
Over / Under
-196+148 -208+160 -
7.5
Over / Under
-143+108 -149+115 -
8
Over / Under
-116-105 -120+100 -120+100
8.5
Over / Under
-101-130 -102-128 -
9
Over / Under
+130-172 +130-169 -
9.5
Over / Under
+157-208 +155-208 -
10
Over / Under
+190-263 +185-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+209-286 +210-286 -
11
Over / Under
+282-417 +275-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+311-476 +300-455 -
12
Over / Under
+386-625 +375-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+405-667 +400-625 -
13
Over / Under
- +525-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.