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Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies odds

Toronto
Blue Jays
SM rating 1515 · #12
6 – 7
Final
Phillies -1.5 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, August 9
1:35 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
TOR 43%PHI 57%
Fair moneyline
+133 / -133
TOR / PHI, no vig
Market win %
32% / 68%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TOR +11 pts
SharpModels 43% · market 32% (no vig)
Ratings
1515 / 1544
TOR / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 11 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Blue Jays
Moneyline
+217
DraftKings
+217 +195 +200
Phillies
Moneyline
-222
bet365
-238 -238 -222
Blue Jays
Spread
+1.5-102
DraftKings
+1.5-102 +1.5-105 +1.5-105
Phillies
Spread
-1.5-115
bet365
-1.5-119 -1.5-115 -1.5-115
Over
Total
8.5-110
DraftKings
8.5-110 8.5-110 8.5-110
Under
Total
8.5-110
bet365
8.5-111 8.5-110 8.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
0.5% 1.9%4.1%2.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-6.5
TOR +6.5
+600-1250 - -
-6
TOR +6
+579-1111 - -
-5.5
TOR +5.5
+421-714 +425-714 -
-5
TOR +5
+391-625 - -
-4.5
TOR +4.5
+282-417 +310-455 -
-4
TOR +4
+255-370 - -
-3.5
TOR +3.5
+192-263 +210-286 -
-3
TOR +3
+166-222 - -
-2.5
TOR +2.5
+128-169 +135-179 -
-2
TOR +2
+104-135 - -
-1.5
TOR +1.5
-119-102 -115-105 -115-105
-1
TOR +1
-196+147 - -
+1
TOR -1
-400+275 - -
+1.5
TOR -1.5
-476+309 -455+300 -
+2
TOR -2
-769+445 - -
+2.5
TOR -2.5
-833+479 - -
+3
TOR -3
-1429+670 - -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: TOR at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1450 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4.5
Over / Under
-909+491 -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-833+464 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-435+295 -417+290 -
6
Over / Under
-385+268 -385+270 -
6.5
Over / Under
-286+204 -286+210 -
7
Over / Under
-233+171 -238+175 -
7.5
Over / Under
-161+123 -161+125 -
8
Over / Under
-137+105 -139+105 -
8.5
Over / Under
-110-111 -110-110 -110-110
9
Over / Under
+113-147 +115-149 -
9.5
Over / Under
+137-182 +140-182 -
10
Over / Under
+167-222 +170-227 -
10.5
Over / Under
+185-250 +190-250 -
11
Over / Under
+247-357 +250-357 -
11.5
Over / Under
+275-400 +280-400 -
12
Over / Under
+343-526 +340-526 -
12.5
Over / Under
+363-588 +360-556 -
13
Over / Under
+494-909 +475-833 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
14
Over / Under
- +625-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.