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Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres odds

Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
2 – 11
Final
Brewers -1.5 did not cover
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, August 11
9:40 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
MIL 51%SD 49%
Fair moneyline
-105 / +105
MIL / SD, no vig
Market win %
55% / 45%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +3 pts
SharpModels 49% · market 45% (no vig)
Ratings
1604 / 1552
MIL / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Brewers
Moneyline
-125
bet365
-127 -133 -125
Padres
Moneyline
+118
DraftKings
+118 +110 +115
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+135
bet365
-1-106 -1.5+125 -1.5+135
Padres
Spread
+1.5-154
BetMGM
+1-123 +1.5-154 +1.5-159
Over
Total
7.5-105
bet365
7.5-105 7.5-105 7.5-105
Under
Total
7.5-115
bet365
7.5-116 7.5-115 7.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
1.4% 1.8%4.5%2.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-4
MIL +4
+750-2000 - -
-3.5
MIL +3.5
+545-1000 +525-909 -
-3
MIL +3
+514-1000 - -
-2.5
MIL +2.5
+365-588 +350-526 -
-2
MIL +2
+330-500 - -
-1.5
MIL +1.5
+231-323 +220-303 -
-1
MIL +1
+176-238 - -
+1
MIL -1
-123-106 - -
+1.5
MIL -1.5
-152+125 -154+125 -159+135
+2
MIL -2
-217+163 - -
+2.5
MIL -2.5
-263+193 -278+200 -
+3
MIL -3
-385+262 - -
+3.5
MIL -3.5
-435+292 -455+300 -
+4
MIL -4
-667+402 - -
+4.5
MIL -4.5
-714+431 - -
+5
MIL -5
-1250+600 - -
+5.5
MIL -5.5
-1429+630 - -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: MIL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1900 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
4
Over / Under
- -909+525 -
4.5
Over / Under
-556+352 -588+375 -
5
Over / Under
-455+309 -500+325 -
5.5
Over / Under
-278+201 -294+210 -
6
Over / Under
-238+178 -250+185 -
6.5
Over / Under
-185+140 -189+145 -
7
Over / Under
-147+111 -149+115 -
7.5
Over / Under
-105-116 -105-115 -105-115
8
Over / Under
+110-145 +110-143 -
8.5
Over / Under
+128-169 +130-169 -
9
Over / Under
+169-227 +170-227 -
9.5
Over / Under
+196-270 +200-278 -
10
Over / Under
+240-345 +240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+259-370 +270-385 -
11
Over / Under
+351-556 +360-556 -
11.5
Over / Under
+379-625 +375-588 -
12
Over / Under
+482-833 +475-833 -
12.5
Over / Under
+502-909 +500-909 -
13
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.