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Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
0 – 2
Final
Pirates -1.5 did not cover
Under 7
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, August 11
6:40 PM ET
loanDepot park
Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
PIT 44%MIA 56%
Fair moneyline
+125 / -125
PIT / MIA, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIA +7 pts
SharpModels 56% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1491
PIT / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
-110
bet365
-111 -115 -110
Marlins
Moneyline
+103
DraftKings
+103 -105 +100
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+150
bet365
-1+107 -1.5+145 -1.5+150
Marlins
Spread
+1.5-179
bet365
+1-141 +1.5-179 +1.5-179
Over
Total
7-105
bet365
7-105 7-105 7-105
Under
Total
7-115
bet365
7-116 7-115 7-115
Margin
Moneyline
1.6% 1.8%4.5%2.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+690-1667 - -
-4
PIT +4
+710-1667 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+511-1000 +500-909 -
-3
PIT +3
+479-833 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+335-526 +340-526 -
-2
PIT +2
+302-455 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+214-294 +200-278 -
-1
PIT +1
+158-213 - -
+1
PIT -1
-141+107 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-169+140 -179+145 -179+150
+2
PIT -2
-250+183 - -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-294+214 -303+220 -
+3
PIT -3
-455+299 - -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-500+331 -476+320 -
+4
PIT -4
-833+464 - -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-909+495 - -
+5
PIT -5
-1667+680 - -
+5.5
PIT -5.5
-1667+700 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1450 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -2500+900 -
3
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
3.5
Over / Under
-625+393 -769+450 -
4
Over / Under
-588+365 -714+425 -
4.5
Over / Under
-385+268 -455+300 -
5
Over / Under
-323+227 -357+250 -
5.5
Over / Under
-200+151 -227+170 -
6
Over / Under
-175+132 -189+145 -
6.5
Over / Under
-141+107 -149+115 -
7
Over / Under
-105-116 -105-115 -105-115
7.5
Over / Under
+117-154 +120-154 -
8
Over / Under
+141-185 +150-200 -
8.5
Over / Under
+158-213 +170-227 -
9
Over / Under
+215-303 +225-303 -
9.5
Over / Under
+245-345 +250-357 -
10
Over / Under
+304-455 +325-476 -
10.5
Over / Under
+323-500 +350-526 -
11
Over / Under
+440-769 +475-833 -
11.5
Over / Under
+468-833 +500-909 -
12
Over / Under
- +625-1250 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.